343
FXUS64 KLZK 170544
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1144 PM CST MON FEB 16 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1242 AM CST MON FEB 16 2026
-DENSE FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS MUCH OF THE STATE FOR MONDAY
MORNING.
-DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH WARMING TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE
MIDDLE OF THIS WEEK.
-RAIN CHANCES WILL RETURN TO THE FORECAST LATER THIS WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1242 AM CST MON FEB 16 2026
TO BEGIN THE PERIOD, A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE HAS MOVED OVER THE
AREA AND WILL CONTROL THE WEATHER PATTERN THROUGH AT LEAST THE
MIDDLE PART OF THIS WEEK. THIS WILL USHER IN CALM AND DRY
CONDITIONS WITH RAIN CHANCES STAYING ON THE LOW END. THE NEXT
CHANCE FOR RAIN WILL BE FRIDAY.
GIVEN RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL AND CALM WINDS, WIDESPREAD DENSE FOG
WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE STATE THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING. MAKE SURE TO GIVE YOURSELF EXTRA TIME TO GET TO WHERE YOU
ARE GOING THIS MORNING.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN AVERAGE TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE THROUGH
THE PERIOD. HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE LIKELY TO TOP OUT IN THE MID 60S
TO UPPER 70S THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THIS WEEK. OVERNIGHT LOW
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO DROP INTO THE UPPER 40S TO UPPER 50S.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1135 PM CST MON FEB 16 2026
A DECK OF IFR CEILINGS ARE MOVING NORTHWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN TERMINALS, BUT LOOKS LIKE THIS DECK MAY MOVE NORTH OF
THESE TERMINALS OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. THIS MAY ACTUALLY AID IN
SUPPRESSING IFR-LIFR VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS IN FOG BY SEVERAL
HOURS OR ALTOGETHER OVERNIGHT. THE HIGHEST PROBABILITIES OF 1/4
SM FOG IS FAVORED FOR KLIT, KHOT, AND KADF, GENERALLY IN THE
10-14Z RANGE. ANY FOG DEVELOPMENT WILL LINGER INTO THE MID-
MORNING HOURS BEFORE CLEARING BY THE AFTERNOON. ASIDE FROM THE FOG
ISSUE, VFR CONDITIONS WITH SCT-BKN MID TO HIGH CLOUDS AND
SOUTHERLY WINDS WITH SOME OCCASIONAL GUSTS 20-25 KTS POSSIBLE
DURING THE MORNING AND AFTERNOON HOURS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 67 46 68 57 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN AR 57 46 70 56 / 0 0 0 0
HARRISON AR 69 48 70 56 / 0 0 0 10
HOT SPRINGS AR 67 46 69 57 / 0 0 0 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 63 47 69 57 / 0 0 0 0
MONTICELLO AR 59 50 72 59 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNT IDA AR 68 47 69 57 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 69 45 68 55 / 0 0 0 10
NEWPORT AR 63 46 66 58 / 0 0 0 0
PINE BLUFF AR 62 47 70 57 / 0 0 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 68 45 71 56 / 0 0 0 0
SEARCY AR 64 44 69 55 / 0 0 0 0
STUTTGART AR 59 47 68 58 / 0 0 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...99
AVIATION...77
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