366
FXUS64 KLZK 171150
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
550 AM CST TUE FEB 17 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 248 AM CST TUE FEB 17 2026
-PATCHY DENSE FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN THIS MORNING, FAVORING
CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN ARKANSAS.
-DRY CONDITIONS WITH WARMING TEMPERATURES NEARING RECORD LEVELS BY
THURSDAY.
-RAIN CHANCES WILL RETURN TO THE FORECAST LATE WEEK AND INTO THE
WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 149 AM CST TUE FEB 17 2026
EARLY MORNING SATELLITE DEPICTS SOME LOW CLOUD DECKS MEANDERING
NORTHWARD ACROSS CENTRAL ARKANSAS, WITH SOME HIGHER LEVEL CLOUDS
CIRCULATING AROUND A BUILDING RIDGE ACROSS THE REGION. SOME DENSE
FOG MAY DEVELOP ONCE AGAIN FOR SIMILAR AREAS THAT HAD FOG LAST
NIGHT, ALTHOUGH THIS LOW-LEVEL CLOUD DECK MAY DELAY OR PREVENT FOG
FROM FORMING WHERE THOSE CEILINGS PERSIST. OTHERWISE, EXPECT BREEZY
TO WINDY SOUTHERLY FLOW GUSTING 20-30 MPH LATE THIS MORNING AND
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS, WITH HIGHS REACHING INTO THE MIDDLE
TO UPPER 60S, WHICH IS 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.
NOT MUCH CHANGE IS ANTICIPATED GOING THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE
WEEK, AS TEMPERATURES WARM WELL INTO THE 70S, PEAKING ON THURSDAY.
SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE WITH AFTERNOON BREEZINESS CONTINUING
THROUGH THIS PERIOD AS WELL.
LOW END RAIN CHANCES RETURN LATE IN THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND
AS A MID-LEVEL IMPULSE MAY ADVECT ENOUGH LOW TO MID-LEVEL MOISTURE
INTO THE REGION TO PRODUCE SOME RAINY CONDITIONS. THE BEST
DYNAMICS CONTINUE TO REMAIN EAST OF THE REGION, SO NBM POP'S AND
PROBABILITIES FOR CERTAIN AMOUNTS FAVOR CENTRAL TO EASTERN
ARKANSAS AT THIS TIME. AFTER THIS TROUGHING FEATURE EXITS TO THE
EAST GOING INTO NEXT WEEK, DRIER CONDITIONS SHOULD BE FAVORED AS
ENSEMBLES SHOW GOOD AGREEMENT ON MID-LEVEL RIDGING IN PLACE.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 542 AM CST TUE FEB 17 2026
A SHIELD OF IFR-LIFR CEILINGS CONTINUE TO LINGER ACROSS THE
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN TERMINALS. SOME VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS ARE
ACCOMPANYING THESE CEILINGS, BUT NO WIDESPREAD DENSE FOG
ANTICIPATED THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS. ANY FOG WILL LINGER INTO
THE MID-MORNING HOURS BEFORE CLEARING BY THE AFTERNOON. ASIDE
FROM THE FOG ISSUE, VFR CONDITIONS WITH SCT-BKN MID TO HIGH CLOUDS
AND SOUTHERLY WINDS WITH SOME OCCASIONAL GUSTS 20-25 KTS POSSIBLE
DURING THE MORNING AND AFTERNOON HOURS. MORE MVFR CEILINGS LIKELY
TO DEVELOP AGAIN TONIGHT FOR THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN TERMINALS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 66 57 73 58 / 0 10 0 10
CAMDEN AR 68 57 73 59 / 0 0 0 0
HARRISON AR 69 56 74 54 / 0 10 0 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 67 57 73 59 / 0 0 0 10
LITTLE ROCK AR 68 57 73 59 / 0 10 0 10
MONTICELLO AR 68 59 74 61 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNT IDA AR 68 57 75 57 / 0 0 0 10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 68 54 75 53 / 0 10 0 10
NEWPORT AR 65 57 72 59 / 0 10 0 10
PINE BLUFF AR 67 57 73 59 / 0 0 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 70 56 76 57 / 0 10 0 10
SEARCY AR 66 54 73 56 / 0 10 0 10
STUTTGART AR 66 57 71 60 / 0 0 0 10
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...77
AVIATION...77
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