985
FXUS64 KLZK 200727
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
127 AM CST FRI FEB 20 2026
..NEW KEY MESSAGES, DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 116 AM CST FRI FEB 20 2026
-SOME LIGHT RAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS MAINLY S/SE ARKANSAS THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING BEFORE DRY CONDITIONS ARE SEEN FOR SEVERAL DAYS.
-MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FROM THIS WEEKEND INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK.
-WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 116 AM CST FRI FEB 20 2026
YESTERDAY'S H500 SHORTWAVE AND CORRESPONDING SFC LOW CONTINUE TO
MAKE PROGRESS NORTHEAST, NEARLY TO THE GREAT LAKES. THE TRAILING
COLD FRONT HAS MOVED ACROSS THE STATE AND DRY AIR AND COOLER
TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO SPREAD SOUTHEAST IN ITS WAKE. DRY AIR AND
COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL BE SEEN ACROSS THE STATE TODAY, BUT FIRE
WEATHER CONCERNS WILL BE MUCH LOWER GIVEN LIGHTER WINDS AND
COOLER TEMPERATURES.
SOME RAIN IS POSSIBLE LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT, MAINLY ACROSS
PORTIONS OF S/SE ARKANSAS. THIS WILL BE DUE IN PART TO THE COLD
FRONT LIFTING BACK NORTH TOWARD SOUTHERN AR AS A WARM FRONT AND A
PASSING SHORTWAVE IN THE H500 SW FLOW ALOFT. A WEAK AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE MAY DEVELOP AND MOVE EAST ALONG THE SOUTHERN FRONT, JUST
NORTH OF THE GULF COAST. SO, SOME RAIN CHANCES WILL PERSIST
THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING BEFORE THE FORECAST BECOMES DRY.
FROM SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY H500 RIDGING WILL REALLY BUILD ACROSS
THE WESTERN US WHILE LARGE SCALE TROUGHING WILL BE SEEN ACROSS THE
EASTERN US. THIS WILL PROVIDE STEEP N/NW FLOW ALOFT OVER THE STATE
WITH STRONG SFC RIDGING BUILDING SOUTH ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF
THE COUNTRY. THIS WILL PROVIDE MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK. EVENTUALLY, THE WESTERN US RIDGE WILL EXPAND EAST AND
WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1115 PM CST THU FEB 19 2026
WINDS WILL LIGHTEN THROUGH DAYBREAK BEFORE INCREASING A BIT
THROUGH THE MID-MORNING HOURS. NW WINDS WILL BE IN PLACE
INITIALLY IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT, WITH SOME DIRECTIONAL
CHANGE TO N/NE THROUGH THE PERIOD. SOUTHERN AR MAY SEE WINDS
BECOME EASTERLY THROUGH THE PERIOD. VFR CONDITIONS WILL BE THE
NORM WITH SOME CHANCE OF MVFR CIGS ACROSS CENTRAL/SOUTHERN AR
TERMINALS NEAR THE END OF THE PERIOD ALONG WITH A FEW RAIN
SHOWERS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 58 39 52 30 / 10 30 10 0
CAMDEN AR 63 45 60 33 / 20 30 20 0
HARRISON AR 53 36 47 26 / 10 30 10 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 62 42 57 31 / 20 30 20 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 60 42 55 32 / 20 30 10 0
MONTICELLO AR 64 47 60 35 / 20 40 20 0
MOUNT IDA AR 61 41 57 30 / 20 30 20 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 54 36 49 26 / 10 30 10 0
NEWPORT AR 58 42 50 30 / 10 40 20 0
PINE BLUFF AR 61 44 56 32 / 20 30 10 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 61 42 55 29 / 10 30 10 0
SEARCY AR 59 39 53 28 / 10 40 10 0
STUTTGART AR 59 44 54 31 / 20 40 10 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...67
AVIATION...67
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