775
FXUS64 KLZK 202313 AAA
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
513 PM CST FRI FEB 20 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 116 AM CST FRI FEB 20 2026
-SOME LIGHT RAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS MAINLY S/SE ARKANSAS THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING BEFORE DRY CONDITIONS ARE SEEN FOR SEVERAL DAYS.
-MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FROM THIS WEEKEND INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK.
-WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 116 AM CST FRI FEB 20 2026
YESTERDAY'S H500 SHORTWAVE AND CORRESPONDING SFC LOW CONTINUE TO
MAKE PROGRESS NORTHEAST, NEARLY TO THE GREAT LAKES. THE TRAILING
COLD FRONT HAS MOVED ACROSS THE STATE AND DRY AIR AND COOLER
TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO SPREAD SOUTHEAST IN ITS WAKE. DRY AIR AND
COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL BE SEEN ACROSS THE STATE TODAY, BUT FIRE
WEATHER CONCERNS WILL BE MUCH LOWER GIVEN LIGHTER WINDS AND
COOLER TEMPERATURES.
SOME RAIN IS POSSIBLE LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT, MAINLY ACROSS
PORTIONS OF S/SE ARKANSAS. THIS WILL BE DUE IN PART TO THE COLD
FRONT LIFTING BACK NORTH TOWARD SOUTHERN AR AS A WARM FRONT AND A
PASSING SHORTWAVE IN THE H500 SW FLOW ALOFT. A WEAK AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE MAY DEVELOP AND MOVE EAST ALONG THE SOUTHERN FRONT, JUST
NORTH OF THE GULF COAST. SO, SOME RAIN CHANCES WILL PERSIST
THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING BEFORE THE FORECAST BECOMES DRY.
FROM SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY H500 RIDGING WILL REALLY BUILD ACROSS
THE WESTERN US WHILE LARGE SCALE TROUGHING WILL BE SEEN ACROSS THE
EASTERN US. THIS WILL PROVIDE STEEP N/NW FLOW ALOFT OVER THE STATE
WITH STRONG SFC RIDGING BUILDING SOUTH ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF
THE COUNTRY. THIS WILL PROVIDE MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK. EVENTUALLY, THE WESTERN US RIDGE WILL EXPAND EAST AND
WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 509 PM CST FRI FEB 20 2026
INCRSG MID LVL CLOUD COVG WAS NOTED ON RECENT VIS SAT IMGRY, W/
MAINLY VFR CONDNS PREVAILING AT AREA TERMINALS TO START THE NEW
PD. EXPECT MIXED VFR/MVFR CIGS, PRIMARILY OVER CNTRL TO SRN
TERMINALS THRU SAT AFTN, W/ NRN TERMINALS STAYING VFR. LIGHT
NERLY WINDS WL PREVAIL OVERNIGHT, W/ GUSTY NRLY WINDS RESUMING BY
SAT AFTN. SOME LIGHT PRECIP WL PERSIST OVER SERN AR, BUT NO VISBY
IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED, W/ PRECIP TAPERING OFF AFTER 06Z FRI NIGHT.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 39 51 29 50 / 20 30 0 0
CAMDEN AR 45 60 32 56 / 30 20 0 0
HARRISON AR 35 48 26 46 / 30 20 0 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 43 56 32 55 / 20 20 0 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 44 53 32 54 / 30 20 0 0
MONTICELLO AR 47 60 34 55 / 40 20 0 0
MOUNT IDA AR 42 57 30 55 / 20 20 0 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 34 48 26 47 / 30 20 0 0
NEWPORT AR 41 48 30 50 / 30 30 0 0
PINE BLUFF AR 44 55 32 53 / 40 20 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 42 55 30 55 / 20 20 0 0
SEARCY AR 40 51 29 52 / 30 20 0 0
STUTTGART AR 44 51 31 51 / 40 20 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...67
LONG TERM....67
AVIATION...72
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