205
FXUS64 KLZK 210655
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1255 AM CST SAT FEB 21 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 116 AM CST FRI FEB 20 2026
-SOME LIGHT RAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS MAINLY S/SE ARKANSAS THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING BEFORE DRY CONDITIONS ARE SEEN FOR SEVERAL DAYS.
-MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FROM THIS WEEKEND INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK.
-WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 116 AM CST FRI FEB 20 2026
YESTERDAY'S H500 SHORTWAVE AND CORRESPONDING SFC LOW CONTINUE TO
MAKE PROGRESS NORTHEAST, NEARLY TO THE GREAT LAKES. THE TRAILING
COLD FRONT HAS MOVED ACROSS THE STATE AND DRY AIR AND COOLER
TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO SPREAD SOUTHEAST IN ITS WAKE. DRY AIR AND
COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL BE SEEN ACROSS THE STATE TODAY, BUT FIRE
WEATHER CONCERNS WILL BE MUCH LOWER GIVEN LIGHTER WINDS AND
COOLER TEMPERATURES.
SOME RAIN IS POSSIBLE LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT, MAINLY ACROSS
PORTIONS OF S/SE ARKANSAS. THIS WILL BE DUE IN PART TO THE COLD
FRONT LIFTING BACK NORTH TOWARD SOUTHERN AR AS A WARM FRONT AND A
PASSING SHORTWAVE IN THE H500 SW FLOW ALOFT. A WEAK AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE MAY DEVELOP AND MOVE EAST ALONG THE SOUTHERN FRONT, JUST
NORTH OF THE GULF COAST. SO, SOME RAIN CHANCES WILL PERSIST
THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING BEFORE THE FORECAST BECOMES DRY.
FROM SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY H500 RIDGING WILL REALLY BUILD ACROSS
THE WESTERN US WHILE LARGE SCALE TROUGHING WILL BE SEEN ACROSS THE
EASTERN US. THIS WILL PROVIDE STEEP N/NW FLOW ALOFT OVER THE STATE
WITH STRONG SFC RIDGING BUILDING SOUTH ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF
THE COUNTRY. THIS WILL PROVIDE MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK. EVENTUALLY, THE WESTERN US RIDGE WILL EXPAND EAST AND
WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1252 AM CST SAT FEB 21 2026
SHOWERY ACTIVITY WITH SOME EMBEDDED THUNDER WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT
EASTWARD WITH SOME RESIDUAL SHOWERS POSSIBLE THROUGH DAYBREAK.
SOME MVFR CEILINGS MAY LINGER THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS, BUT
SHOULD BECOME MOSTLY VFR BY THE AFTERNOON HOURS. WINDS GENERALLY
EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WILL PREVAIL, WITH SOME OCCASIONAL GUSTS
15 TO 20 KTS DURING THE AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 52 29 47 23 / 20 0 0 0
CAMDEN AR 59 33 56 27 / 10 0 0 0
HARRISON AR 50 26 44 19 / 10 0 0 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 57 32 53 27 / 10 0 0 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 54 32 52 27 / 10 0 0 0
MONTICELLO AR 60 34 54 29 / 10 0 0 0
MOUNT IDA AR 60 31 53 25 / 10 0 0 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 50 26 44 19 / 10 0 0 0
NEWPORT AR 49 29 47 25 / 20 0 0 0
PINE BLUFF AR 55 32 52 26 / 10 0 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 57 31 52 25 / 10 0 0 0
SEARCY AR 52 28 50 23 / 20 0 0 0
STUTTGART AR 52 31 50 25 / 10 0 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...99
AVIATION...77
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page