308
FXUS64 KLZK 190452
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1152 PM CDT SAT APR 18 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1054 PM CDT FRI APR 17 2026
- GRADUAL WARMING TREND STARTS TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
- MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
- RAIN AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RETURN FRIDAY INTO NEXT WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1102 PM CDT SAT APR 18 2026
SATELLITE LATE TONIGHT SHOWS BAND OF CLOUDINESS OF SOUTHERN AND
SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS WITH LIGHT RAIN OVER FAR SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEAST
PART OF THE STATE. AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS WILL COMBINED WITH A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE UPPER
MIDWEST LATER TODAY. BOTH RIDGES WILL MOVE OFF TO THE EAST
ALLOWING MORE SOUTHERLY RETURN THEN SOUTHWESTERLY BY TUESDAY
ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO GRADUALLY MODERATE INTO THE LOWER 80S IN
PARTS OF THE STATE BY MID WEEK THROUGH THE END OF THE WORK WEEK.
ATTENTION TURN TO THE NEXT WEATHER MAKER FOR THE STATE. MODEL
GUIDANCE HAS A LONG WAVE TROUGH COMING ASHORE OVER SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA SOMETIME MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. BOTH DETERMINISTIC
AND ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE SHOWS SOME SUBTLE DIFFERENCES ON HOW FAR
THE TROUGH DIGS AS IT PROGRESSES EAST ACROSS THE WESTERN US. THE
TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO THE ROCKIES BY WEDNESDAY, THEN INTO THE
CENTRAL PLAINS BY THURSDAY BEFORE EJECTING NORTHEAST INTO THE
GREAT LAKES REGION FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. THE TROUGH WILL DRAG A
COLD FRONT THROUGH THE STATE BRINGING CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE STATE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.
SOME DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE ARE HINTING AT THE
POSSIBILITY OF SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS THE STATE. AT THIS TIME, IS
TOO FAR OUT TO GET INTO SPECIFICS RELATED TO TIMING, PLACEMENT,
AND SPECIFIC HAZARDS RELATED TO SEVERE WEATHER ON FRIDAY INTO
SATURDAY.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 629 PM CDT SAT APR 18 2026
AVN CONDNS CONT TO IMPROVE FM NW TO SE BEHIND A CDFRNT, LAST
ANALYZED OVER FAR SERN AR, WHERE ASCTD PRECIP AND MID-LVL CLOUD
COVER WERE STILL EVIDENT. GUSTY NWRLY WINDS WL SUBSIDE BEYOND 00Z
AT AREA TERMINALS, W/ CLOUD COVER CONTINUING TO CLEAR TO THE SE,
AND PRECIP TAPERING OFF. VFR CONDNS WL PREVAIL ACRS THE FA, W/
LINGERING MVFR CONDNS OVER FAR SERN AR IMPROVING LATER SAT EVNG,
AND LIGHT W-NWRLY WINDS RESUMING ON SUN.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 61 41 75 48 / 70 0 0 0
CAMDEN AR 73 40 75 44 / 80 40 0 0
HARRISON AR 57 40 72 46 / 30 0 0 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 64 41 77 46 / 60 0 0 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 67 43 75 48 / 80 10 0 0
MONTICELLO AR 73 45 74 48 / 90 50 0 0
MOUNT IDA AR 61 40 76 45 / 60 0 0 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 60 39 73 44 / 40 0 0 0
NEWPORT AR 64 42 72 48 / 80 0 0 0
PINE BLUFF AR 73 41 74 47 / 80 30 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 63 40 75 45 / 50 0 0 0
SEARCY AR 65 40 74 45 / 80 0 0 0
STUTTGART AR 69 43 72 49 / 80 20 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...76
AVIATION...72
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