836
FXUS64 KLZK 192311 AAA
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
611 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1054 PM CDT FRI APR 17 2026
- GRADUAL WARMING TREND STARTS TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
- MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
- RAIN AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RETURN FRIDAY INTO NEXT WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1102 PM CDT SAT APR 18 2026
SATELLITE LATE TONIGHT SHOWS BAND OF CLOUDINESS OF SOUTHERN AND
SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS WITH LIGHT RAIN OVER FAR SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEAST
PART OF THE STATE. AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS WILL COMBINED WITH A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE UPPER
MIDWEST LATER TODAY. BOTH RIDGES WILL MOVE OFF TO THE EAST
ALLOWING MORE SOUTHERLY RETURN THEN SOUTHWESTERLY BY TUESDAY
ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO GRADUALLY MODERATE INTO THE LOWER 80S IN
PARTS OF THE STATE BY MID WEEK THROUGH THE END OF THE WORK WEEK.
ATTENTION TURN TO THE NEXT WEATHER MAKER FOR THE STATE. MODEL
GUIDANCE HAS A LONG WAVE TROUGH COMING ASHORE OVER SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA SOMETIME MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. BOTH DETERMINISTIC
AND ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE SHOWS SOME SUBTLE DIFFERENCES ON HOW FAR
THE TROUGH DIGS AS IT PROGRESSES EAST ACROSS THE WESTERN US. THE
TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO THE ROCKIES BY WEDNESDAY, THEN INTO THE
CENTRAL PLAINS BY THURSDAY BEFORE EJECTING NORTHEAST INTO THE
GREAT LAKES REGION FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. THE TROUGH WILL DRAG A
COLD FRONT THROUGH THE STATE BRINGING CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE STATE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.
SOME DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE ARE HINTING AT THE
POSSIBILITY OF SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS THE STATE. AT THIS TIME, IS
TOO FAR OUT TO GET INTO SPECIFICS RELATED TO TIMING, PLACEMENT,
AND SPECIFIC HAZARDS RELATED TO SEVERE WEATHER ON FRIDAY INTO
SATURDAY.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 609 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2026
VFR CONDNS WL PREVAIL THRU THE NEW TAF PD AS SFC HIGH PRESSURE
DRIFTS EWRD ACROSS THE FA. WINDS WL SUBSIDE AND BECOME VARIABLE
OVERNIGHT. INTO MON MRNG, SRLY WINDS WL RESUME, GENERALLY UNDER 10
KTS AT AREA TERMINALS, W/ CLEAR SKIES PREVAILING.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 47 78 52 79 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN AR 43 79 47 78 / 0 0 0 10
HARRISON AR 45 77 50 76 / 0 0 0 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 45 77 49 77 / 0 0 0 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 47 79 52 79 / 0 0 0 0
MONTICELLO AR 46 80 51 80 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNT IDA AR 44 77 49 75 / 0 0 0 10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 43 78 49 78 / 0 0 0 0
NEWPORT AR 47 78 52 80 / 0 0 0 0
PINE BLUFF AR 45 79 50 80 / 0 0 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 44 79 49 78 / 0 0 0 0
SEARCY AR 44 78 48 79 / 0 0 0 0
STUTTGART AR 48 78 52 80 / 0 0 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...76
LONG TERM....76
AVIATION...72
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