105
FXUS64 KLZK 071121
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
621 AM CDT THU MAY 7 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 146 AM CDT THU MAY 7 2026
-DRIER CONDITIONS EXPECTED INTO FRIDAY
-CHANCES FOR RAINFALL RETURN FOR PORTIONS OF THE STATE FRIDAY NIGHT
-BETTER CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED ON SUNDAY AS
A NEW COLD FRONT MOVES SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 146 AM CDT THU MAY 7 2026
COLD FRONT HAS MOVED WELL SOUTH OF THE STATE AS OF EARLY THIS THU
MORNING...WITH MOST INTENSE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY WELL SOUTH OVER
MS/AL. SOME LINGERING SHRA CONTINUES ACROSS SERN SECTIONS...WHICH
SHOULD CONTINUE TO SHIFT EAST DURING THE EARLY MORNING HRS THIS THU.
SFC HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE ACROSS THE STATE BY THIS THU
AFTERNOON...WITH A CLEARING SKY EXPECTED FOR MOST AREAS. HIGHS WILL
BE IN THE 60S AND 70S THIS AFTERNOON. DRY CONDITIONS WILL BE
DOMINANT. THESE DRIER CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST INTO FRI AS WELL...BUT
TEMPS WILL WARM AS THE SFC HIGH WILL SHIFT EAST...AND SRLY SFC FLOW
RETURNS. EXPECT HIGHS ON FRI IN THE 70S AND EVEN LOW 80S.
THE WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE INTO SAT AS WELL...THROUGH A NEW
COLD FRONT WILL ATTEMPT TO DROP SOUTH INTO THE STATE LATE FRI INTO
SAT. THIS MAY BRING SOME INCREASED POPS FOR PORTIONS OF THE
AREA...MAINLY ACROSS NRN SECTIONS FRI NIGHT. HIGHS ON SAT WILL BE IN
THE 70S AND 80S.
BETTER CHANCES FOR CONVECTION COME ON SUN AS A STRONGER COLD FRONT
MOVES SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION. SOME STRONG/SVR CONVECTION COULD BE
SEEN WITH THIS FRONT GIVEN THE TIME OF YEAR...BUT DETAILS REGARDING
THE EXACT SVR THREAT REMAIN UNCERTAIN THIS FAR OUT IN TIME. DRIER
AND CALMER CONDITIONS WILL BE SEEN BEHIND THIS FRONT EARLY NEXT
WEEK.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 618 AM CDT THU MAY 7 2026
VFR CONDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH ONLY PASSING HIGH
CLOUDS ANTICIPATED OVER CNTRL/SRN SITES TODAY. SKC ARE EXPECTED ON
OVER NRN SITES. NRN SITES SHOULD HAVE WRLY WINDS LESS THAN 10 KTS,
MEANWHILE WINDS WILL BE VARIABLE AT OTHER LOCATIONS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 70 49 77 56 / 0 0 0 10
CAMDEN AR 73 50 76 57 / 0 0 0 20
HARRISON AR 67 48 78 54 / 0 0 10 50
HOT SPRINGS AR 73 49 77 56 / 0 0 0 20
LITTLE ROCK AR 71 51 77 57 / 0 0 0 20
MONTICELLO AR 72 52 76 59 / 0 0 0 30
MOUNT IDA AR 73 48 77 56 / 0 0 0 20
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 68 46 78 54 / 0 0 10 60
NEWPORT AR 70 50 77 57 / 0 0 0 10
PINE BLUFF AR 70 50 76 57 / 0 0 0 10
RUSSELLVILLE AR 72 48 80 57 / 0 0 0 20
SEARCY AR 70 47 77 55 / 0 0 0 10
STUTTGART AR 69 51 76 59 / 0 0 0 10
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...70
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