339
FXUS64 KLZK 071730
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1230 PM CDT THU MAY 7 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 146 AM CDT THU MAY 7 2026
-DRIER CONDITIONS EXPECTED INTO FRIDAY
-CHANCES FOR RAINFALL RETURN FOR PORTIONS OF THE STATE FRIDAY NIGHT
-BETTER CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED ON SUNDAY AS
A NEW COLD FRONT MOVES SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 146 AM CDT THU MAY 7 2026
COLD FRONT HAS MOVED WELL SOUTH OF THE STATE AS OF EARLY THIS THU
MORNING...WITH MOST INTENSE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY WELL SOUTH OVER
MS/AL. SOME LINGERING SHRA CONTINUES ACROSS SERN SECTIONS...WHICH
SHOULD CONTINUE TO SHIFT EAST DURING THE EARLY MORNING HRS THIS THU.
SFC HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE ACROSS THE STATE BY THIS THU
AFTERNOON...WITH A CLEARING SKY EXPECTED FOR MOST AREAS. HIGHS WILL
BE IN THE 60S AND 70S THIS AFTERNOON. DRY CONDITIONS WILL BE
DOMINANT. THESE DRIER CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST INTO FRI AS WELL...BUT
TEMPS WILL WARM AS THE SFC HIGH WILL SHIFT EAST...AND SRLY SFC FLOW
RETURNS. EXPECT HIGHS ON FRI IN THE 70S AND EVEN LOW 80S.
THE WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE INTO SAT AS WELL...THROUGH A NEW
COLD FRONT WILL ATTEMPT TO DROP SOUTH INTO THE STATE LATE FRI INTO
SAT. THIS MAY BRING SOME INCREASED POPS FOR PORTIONS OF THE
AREA...MAINLY ACROSS NRN SECTIONS FRI NIGHT. HIGHS ON SAT WILL BE IN
THE 70S AND 80S.
BETTER CHANCES FOR CONVECTION COME ON SUN AS A STRONGER COLD FRONT
MOVES SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION. SOME STRONG/SVR CONVECTION COULD BE
SEEN WITH THIS FRONT GIVEN THE TIME OF YEAR...BUT DETAILS REGARDING
THE EXACT SVR THREAT REMAIN UNCERTAIN THIS FAR OUT IN TIME. DRIER
AND CALMER CONDITIONS WILL BE SEEN BEHIND THIS FRONT EARLY NEXT
WEEK.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1229 PM CDT THU MAY 7 2026
CALM AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD, PROMOTING
VFR CONDITIONS. WINDS WILL REMAIN MOSTLY LIGHT THROUGH THE PERIOD,
ALTHOUGH OUT OF THE NORTH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON THEN OUT OF THE
SOUTH BY THE EVENING HOURS AND INTO TONIGHT.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 49 77 56 82 / 0 0 10 0
CAMDEN AR 50 76 57 81 / 0 0 20 20
HARRISON AR 48 78 54 81 / 0 10 50 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 49 77 56 82 / 0 0 20 10
LITTLE ROCK AR 51 77 57 81 / 0 0 20 10
MONTICELLO AR 52 76 59 81 / 0 0 30 30
MOUNT IDA AR 48 77 56 82 / 0 0 20 10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 46 78 54 81 / 0 10 60 0
NEWPORT AR 50 77 57 82 / 0 0 10 0
PINE BLUFF AR 50 76 57 80 / 0 0 10 10
RUSSELLVILLE AR 48 80 57 84 / 0 0 20 0
SEARCY AR 47 77 55 81 / 0 0 10 0
STUTTGART AR 51 76 59 81 / 0 0 10 10
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...99
AVIATION...73
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