687
FXUS64 KLZK 072321 AAA
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
621 PM CDT THU MAY 7 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 146 AM CDT THU MAY 7 2026
-DRIER CONDITIONS EXPECTED INTO FRIDAY
-CHANCES FOR RAINFALL RETURN FOR PORTIONS OF THE STATE FRIDAY NIGHT
-BETTER CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED ON SUNDAY AS
A NEW COLD FRONT MOVES SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 146 AM CDT THU MAY 7 2026
COLD FRONT HAS MOVED WELL SOUTH OF THE STATE AS OF EARLY THIS THU
MORNING...WITH MOST INTENSE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY WELL SOUTH OVER
MS/AL. SOME LINGERING SHRA CONTINUES ACROSS SERN SECTIONS...WHICH
SHOULD CONTINUE TO SHIFT EAST DURING THE EARLY MORNING HRS THIS THU.
SFC HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE ACROSS THE STATE BY THIS THU
AFTERNOON...WITH A CLEARING SKY EXPECTED FOR MOST AREAS. HIGHS WILL
BE IN THE 60S AND 70S THIS AFTERNOON. DRY CONDITIONS WILL BE
DOMINANT. THESE DRIER CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST INTO FRI AS WELL...BUT
TEMPS WILL WARM AS THE SFC HIGH WILL SHIFT EAST...AND SRLY SFC FLOW
RETURNS. EXPECT HIGHS ON FRI IN THE 70S AND EVEN LOW 80S.
THE WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE INTO SAT AS WELL...THROUGH A NEW
COLD FRONT WILL ATTEMPT TO DROP SOUTH INTO THE STATE LATE FRI INTO
SAT. THIS MAY BRING SOME INCREASED POPS FOR PORTIONS OF THE
AREA...MAINLY ACROSS NRN SECTIONS FRI NIGHT. HIGHS ON SAT WILL BE IN
THE 70S AND 80S.
BETTER CHANCES FOR CONVECTION COME ON SUN AS A STRONGER COLD FRONT
MOVES SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION. SOME STRONG/SVR CONVECTION COULD BE
SEEN WITH THIS FRONT GIVEN THE TIME OF YEAR...BUT DETAILS REGARDING
THE EXACT SVR THREAT REMAIN UNCERTAIN THIS FAR OUT IN TIME. DRIER
AND CALMER CONDITIONS WILL BE SEEN BEHIND THIS FRONT EARLY NEXT
WEEK.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 618 PM CDT THU MAY 7 2026
VFR CONDNS ARE EXPECTED THRU THE NEW TAF PD. RECENT VISSAT IMGRY
DEPICTED HIGHER CLOUD COVER MOVING ENE ACRS THE SRN HALF OF THE
FA. EXPECT THIS ACTIVITY TO CONTINUE INTO FRI, W/ MAINLY SCT TO
BKN HIGHER CLOUDS EXPECTED AT CNTRL TO SRN TERMINALS. WINDS WL
BECOME VARIABLE OVERNIGHT, AND RESUME AS SRLY AREA-WIDE ON FRI.
SOME SHRA/TS COULD BE SEEN ACRS NWRN AR NEAR AND BEYOND 00Z FRI
NIGHT, BUT HAVE EXCLUDED MENTIONS FOR NOW DUE TO HIGH
UNCERTAINTIES.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 48 76 56 82 / 0 0 10 0
CAMDEN AR 50 77 57 82 / 0 0 20 10
HARRISON AR 46 78 54 81 / 0 20 50 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 48 77 56 82 / 0 0 10 10
LITTLE ROCK AR 50 77 56 81 / 0 0 10 0
MONTICELLO AR 51 76 58 81 / 0 0 30 20
MOUNT IDA AR 47 77 56 82 / 0 0 10 10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 45 78 54 81 / 0 10 60 0
NEWPORT AR 50 77 57 82 / 0 0 10 0
PINE BLUFF AR 49 76 56 82 / 0 0 20 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 48 80 56 83 / 0 0 10 0
SEARCY AR 46 76 54 81 / 0 0 10 0
STUTTGART AR 51 76 58 81 / 0 0 10 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...62
AVIATION...72
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