421
FXUS64 KLZK 090434
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1134 PM CDT FRI MAY 8 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 119 AM CDT FRI MAY 8 2026
-CHANCES FOR SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING ACROSS NORTHWESTERN
SECTIONS...WITH LOW END SEVERE WEATHER THREAT
-MAINLY DRY ON SATURDAY
-MORE CHANCES FOR SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY INTO EARLY MONDAY AS
A NEW FRONT MOVES INTO REGION
-DRIER/WARM CONDITIONS EARLY/MIDDLE NEXT WEEK
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 119 AM CDT FRI MAY 8 2026
ALL QUIET CONDITIONS ONGOING ACROSS THE NATURAL STATE EARLY THIS FRI
MORNING AS SFC HIGH PRESSURE IS SLIDING EAST OF THE STATE. SRLY FLOW
WILL INCREASE LATER THIS MORNING AND ESPECIALLY BY THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH WARMER CONDITIONS EXPECTED AS A RESULT. HIGHS WILL
BE IN THE 70S AND 80S. WHILE SRLY FLOW WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE
STATE TODAY...MOISTURE LEVELS WON'T REBOUND CONSIDERABLY...WITH
DEWPTS ONLY INCREASING INTO THE 40S AND 50S FOR MOST AREAS BY LATE
THIS AFTERNOON.
A NEW UPPER WAVE WILL DROP SE ACROSS THE PLAINS TOWARDS AR
TONIGHT...WITH A COLD FRONT ALSO DROPPING SE TOWARDS THE STATE. SOME
CONVECTION WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG/AHEAD OF THIS FRONT TO THE NW OF
THE CWA INTO THIS FRI AFTERNOON...BUT AS THIS ACTIVITY MOVES INTO
THE STATE...THE FRONT WILL SLOW/STALL NW OF AR. AS A RESULT OF
THIS...AND THE LIMITED MOISTURE AHEAD OF THE FRONT IN AR...THE
COVERAGE OF CONVECTION LOOKS TO DIMINISH AS IS PROGRESSES SE INTO
AR...AND ESPECIALLY THE CWA. EVEN SO...THINK THERE COULD BE SOME
LINGERING SHRA/TSRA DROP SE INTO THE NWRN ZONES OF THE CWA THIS FRI
EVENING...BUT THE SEWD EXTENT LOOKS FAIRLY LIMITED WITH THIS
ACTIVITY. THERE MAY ALSO BE A POCKET OF CONVECTION FIRE ACROSS FAR
SRN SECTIONS LATER ON FRI NIGHT INTO SAT MORNING AS A WEAK UPPER
WAVE INTERACTS WITH BETTER MOISTURE LEVELS ACROSS SRN AR. THE
OVERALL THREAT FOR SEEING STRONG/SVR WX TODAY/TONIGHT LOOKS FAIRLY
LIMITED...BUT SOME ISOLATED MARGINALLY SVR TO LOW END SVR HAIL MAY
BE SEEN...AS WELL AS SOME ISOLATED STRONG WINDS WITH THE MOST
INTENSE ACTIVITY.
SATURDAY DAYTIME LOOKS MAINLY DRY AND WARM...WITH HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO MID 80S. A NEW FRONT WILL PUSH INTO THE REGION ON SUN/SUN
NIGHT...WITH MORE CONVECTION POSSIBLE WITH THAT FRONT.
INITIALLY...THERE MAY BE SOME CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A POSSIBLE
CONVECTIVE COMPLEX DROPPING SE FROM THE NW SUN MORNING.
THEN...ADDITIONAL CONVECTION LOOKS POSSIBLE ALONG THE FRONT LATER ON
SUN INTO SUN NIGHT. BEYOND SUN NIGHT/MON MORNING...THE CHANCES FOR
PRECIP DECREASE...WITH MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED INTO THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1134 PM CDT FRI MAY 8 2026
EXPECT VFR FLIGHT CATEGORY FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD FROM EARLY
SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING ACROSS ALL SITES WITH
THE EXCEPTION OF KLLQ WHICH IS EXPECTED TO EXPERIENCE LOWERED CIGS
EARLY SATURDAY MORNING TO AS LOW AS MVFR FLIGHT CATEGORY UNTIL LATE
SATURDAY MORNING WHEN THE CLOUD DECK WILL LIFT. EXPECT FOR THE FIRST
FEW HOURS OF THE FORECAST PERIOD THAT THE SITE OF KHRO MAY
EXPERIENCE SURFACE WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF ALMOST 20 KNOTS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 75 56 83 60 / 0 10 0 10
CAMDEN AR 77 58 84 61 / 10 20 10 10
HARRISON AR 78 54 82 58 / 0 50 0 20
HOT SPRINGS AR 76 56 84 61 / 0 10 10 30
LITTLE ROCK AR 76 57 83 61 / 0 10 0 10
MONTICELLO AR 75 59 84 62 / 0 30 10 10
MOUNT IDA AR 74 56 83 61 / 0 10 10 30
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 77 53 82 57 / 0 40 0 10
NEWPORT AR 76 57 82 60 / 0 10 0 10
PINE BLUFF AR 78 58 84 62 / 0 10 0 10
RUSSELLVILLE AR 79 57 85 61 / 0 30 10 40
SEARCY AR 75 54 82 58 / 0 10 0 10
STUTTGART AR 78 59 82 62 / 0 0 0 10
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...74
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