761
FXUS64 KLZK 111056
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
556 AM CDT MON MAY 11 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1145 PM CDT SUN MAY 10 2026
-DRIER CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK.
-DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE STATE AROUND THE MIDDLE OF
THE WEEK.
-WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES LIKELY BY LATE WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1145 PM CDT SUN MAY 10 2026
SATELLITE AND RADAR LATE THIS EVENING SHOWS SCATTERED SHOWERS ACROSS
THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE STATE. SKIES WERE CLEAR OVER PARTS OF
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS WITH CLOUDY SKIES ELSEWHERE WITH TEMPERATURES IN
THE 50S IN FAR NORTHERN ARKANSAS AND 60S ELSEWHERE. THE REMAINING
SHOWER ACTIVITY WITHIN THE STATE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE EAST AND
DECREASE IN COVERAGE BEFORE ENDING AROUND SUNRISE.
AS WE HEAD INTO MONDAY, NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL REMAIN IN CONTROL
OVER THE STATE THROUGH AT LEAST THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. A WARMING
TREND WILL COMMENCE AS TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TO WELL ABOVE
NORMAL VALUES BY THE END OF THE WORK WEEK INTO NEXT WEEKEND. A DRY
COLD FRONT WILL DROP OUT OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS ON WEDNESDAY BUT
OTHER THAN A WIND SHIFT WILL NOT BRING ANY OTHER SENSIBLE WEATHER
CHANGES.
BY THURSDAY, THE UPPER TROUGH OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION WILL
MOVE TOWARD THE EASTERN SEABOARD. AT THE SAME TIME, A SHORTWAVE
OVER THE GREAT BASIN WILL TREK ACROSS THE ROCKIES INTO THE
NORTHERN PLAINS BY THURSDAY NIGHT. A SHORT WAVE RIDGE WILL MOVE
IN BEHIND THE DEPARTING UPPER TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN US ON
THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
BY THURSDAY NIGHT, SHORT WAVE OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS WILL DRAG A
COLD FRONT INTO THE STATE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY BRINGING SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES TO THE STATE. AS WE HEAD INTO A SUNDAY, A SHORT
WAVE TROUGH THAT WILL DIVE SOUTH OUT OF BRITISH COLUMBIA WILL TREK
ALONG THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER AS UPPER TROUGHING DEEPENS ACROSS THE
WESTERN US SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. THIS WILL ALLOW SOUTHWEST FLOW TO
SET UP OVER THE STATE WITH MULTIPLE DISTURBANCES MOVE ACROSS THE
STATE BRINGING CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE
REST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 552 AM CDT MON MAY 11 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. MID AND
HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS WILL GRADUALLY CLEAR THE STATE FROM NORTH TO
SOUTH THROUGH THE DAY. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE BUT
PREDOMINATELY OUT OF THE E/SE THROUGH THIS TAF CYCLE.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 79 52 82 60 / 0 0 0 10
CAMDEN AR 80 52 84 55 / 30 0 0 0
HARRISON AR 79 52 83 61 / 0 0 0 10
HOT SPRINGS AR 79 52 82 57 / 10 0 0 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 78 52 81 57 / 10 0 0 0
MONTICELLO AR 79 54 82 56 / 10 0 0 0
MOUNT IDA AR 79 51 81 57 / 10 0 0 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 79 51 83 59 / 0 0 0 10
NEWPORT AR 78 53 82 59 / 0 0 0 0
PINE BLUFF AR 79 52 81 56 / 10 0 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 81 52 84 59 / 0 0 0 0
SEARCY AR 79 50 81 55 / 0 0 0 0
STUTTGART AR 78 54 80 58 / 10 0 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...76
AVIATION...76
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