760
FXUS64 KLZK 130509 AAA
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1209 AM CDT WED MAY 13 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 220 AM CDT TUE MAY 12 2026
- HIGH PRESSURE RESULTS IN QUIET CONDS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS
- BREEZY CONDS ARE EXPECTED TO RETURN INTO THE WEEKEND
- TEMPS SHOULD TOP OUT ABOVE AVERAGE THROUGH THE WEEKEND
- RAIN CHANCES RETURN LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 220 AM CDT TUE MAY 12 2026
ALL WAS QUIET ACROSS AR THIS TUESDAY MORNING BENEATH HIGH PRESSURE.
TEMPS RANGED FROM THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES.
TODAY, SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY CLEAR WITH HIGHS TOPPING OUT IN THE
UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S ON LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
SYNOPTICALLY, NW FLOW ALOFT WILL RESIDE OVER THE REGION BETWEEN AN
AMPLIFIED RIDGE NEAR THE FOUR CORNERS REGION AND SUBTLE TROUGH ALONG
THE NRN GULF COAST. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO THE STATE
OVERNIGHT TUESDAY NIGHT INCREASING CLOUDS AND BRINGING PERHAPS AN
ISOLATED SHOWER TO NRN AR. SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR WILL ADVECT INTO THE
REGION ON N/NERLY WINDS THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES
RETURNING.
COMPACT UPPER RIDGING WILL ADVANCE EWRD ACROSS THE ROCKIES/PLAINS ON
WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL ENERGY/VORT
MAXIMA'S WILL PASS THROUGH THE FLOW, HOWEVER DEEP MOISTURE FAVORING
PRECIP APPEARS TO BE LACKING AT THE MOMENT, THUS PRECLUDING MENTIONS
OF POPS.
BY FRIDAY, THE PATTERN IN ANTICIPATED TO BECOME MORE ZONAL, WITH
DEEPENING SURFACE LOWS OUT OVER THE PLAINS. INCREASING PGF SHOULD
PROMOTE BREEZY CONDS ON SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY, ESPECIALLY INTO THE
AFTERNOON HOURS. AS MENTIONED IN THE PRIOR DAYS, UPPER LEVEL ENERGY
IS SET TO PASS OVER THE REGION BRINGING SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FAVORED
MORE TO TIMES OF THE DAY CORRESPONDING WITH PEAK DAYTIME HEATING.
OVERALL, POPS ARE SPARSE WITH NO APPRECIABLE QPF EXPECTED.
BETTER POP CHANCES RETURN ACROSS THE REGION LATE SUNDAY NIGHT
INTO MONDAY. A SHIFT FROM QUASI-ZONAL PATTERN TO MORE MERIDIONAL
COMPONENT WILL RESULT FROM A DEEPENING UPPER TROUGH OVER THE FOUR
CORNERS REGION. SHORT WAVE ENERGY IS ANTICIPATED TO EJECT OUT OVER
THE REGION ON MONDAY. GIVEN THE DURATION OF RETURN FLOW IN PLACE,
MOISTURE SHOULD BE ADEQUATE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
AR. TEMPS THROUGH THE PERIOD SHOULD BE IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S
FOR HIGHS AND LOWS IN THE 50S AND 60S. THE WARMEST TEMPS ARE
EXPECTED FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY WHERE HIGHS MAY TOP NEAR 90 OR INTO
THE LOWER 90S IN PLACES WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1207 AM CDT WED MAY 13 2026
EXPECT DOMINANT VFR CONDITIONS TO PERSIST THROUGH THIS TAF
PERIOD. A NEW DRY FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH THROUGH THE STATE INTO
THIS AFTERNOON...WITH SOME NRLY WINDS INCREASING.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 53 80 62 89 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN AR 58 85 64 89 / 0 0 0 0
HARRISON AR 52 81 65 90 / 0 0 10 10
HOT SPRINGS AR 58 83 64 87 / 0 0 0 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 57 81 63 88 / 0 0 0 0
MONTICELLO AR 59 83 64 88 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNT IDA AR 58 83 66 86 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 51 80 62 91 / 0 0 0 10
NEWPORT AR 54 81 62 90 / 0 0 0 0
PINE BLUFF AR 57 83 64 89 / 0 0 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 57 84 64 90 / 0 0 0 0
SEARCY AR 53 81 59 89 / 0 0 0 0
STUTTGART AR 57 81 64 89 / 0 0 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...70
AVIATION...62
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