296
FXUS64 KLZK 280500 AAA
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1200 AM CDT THU MAY 28 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1249 AM CDT WED MAY 27 2026
-UNSETTLED PATTERN WILL PROVIDE CONTINUED DAILY RAIN CHANCES
ACROSS THE STATE.
-NEAR TO BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
-SEVERE WEATHER CHANCES ARE VERY LOW, SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
IS POSSIBLE.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1249 AM CDT WED MAY 27 2026
WILL BE MONITORING FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF DENSE FOG THROUGH
SUNRISE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE STATE. MAIN CONCERNS WILL BE ACROSS
NORTHERN ARKANSAS WITH POTENTIAL FG DEVELOPMENT ALSO POSSIBLE
ACROSS CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE STATE. THESE AREAS SAW SOME OF THE
MORE WIDESPREAD, HEAVY RAINFALL ON TUESDAY.
AT THE H500 LEVEL, THE OMEGA BLOCK PATTERN REMAINS AND WILL
PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND BEFORE CHANGES ARE POSSIBLE. MID-
LEVEL RIDGING EXTENDS FROM THE SE US TOWARD THE N/NW ACROSS THE
UPPER MS RIVER VALLEY. THIS FEATURE IS FLANKED BY TWO CUTOFF
CYCLONES, ONE OF WHICH IS IN PLACE OVER CENTRAL CALIFORNIA WHILE
THE OTHER IS JUST NE OF MAINE.
EXTENDING EAST FROM THE CA CYCLONE IS A MID-LEVEL TROUGH ORIENTED
FROM NEAR THE OK/TX PANHANDLES SE TOWARD THE HOUSTON AREA. AS THIS
FEATURE LIFTS NORTH TODAY AND THURSDAY IT WILL BECOME A FOCUS FOR
WIDESPREAD RAIN AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THE STATE AND
NEARBY AREAS. A WEAK SFC BOUNDARY WILL LIFT NORTH AS WELL WHICH
WILL HELP ENHANCE PRECIP COVERAGE AS WELL. WILL SEE AN INCREASE
IN PW VALUES (1.75"-2.25") ACROSS THE AREA WED/THU WHICH COULD
HELP PROVIDE SOME LOCALIZED HEAVY DOWNPOURS AS STORMS LIFT NORTH
ACROSS THE STATE.
THE OVERALL PATTERN WILL REMAIN SIMILAR THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND
IN ADDITION TO DAILY CHANCES FOR RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS,
TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL FOR LATE MAY ACROSS
ARKANSAS. A PATTERN SHIFT MAY BE SEEN NEAR THE END OF THE PERIOD,
BUT CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW REGARDING THE TIMELINE AND OVERALL
EVOLUTION OF THIS CHANGE.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1158 PM CDT WED MAY 27 2026
SCATTERED CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE DURING THE OVERNIGHT
PERIOD...WITH MOST ACTIVITY GRADUALLY LIFTING NORTH OVER TIME.
EXPECT A LULL IN THE ACTIVITY AROUND SUNRISE...WHICH MAY ALLOW
FOR SOME LOW CIGS/VIS TO DEVELOP. BY LATE MORNING...ADDITIONAL
CONVECTION LOOKS TO DEVELOP...WITH OFF AN ON SHRA/TSRA POSSIBLE
INTO THE EVENING HRS THU.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 66 78 66 79 / 70 80 60 80
CAMDEN AR 66 83 66 85 / 50 30 20 40
HARRISON AR 65 76 64 77 / 70 80 60 90
HOT SPRINGS AR 67 81 66 82 / 60 40 30 60
LITTLE ROCK AR 67 80 66 81 / 70 60 40 60
MONTICELLO AR 68 82 67 84 / 50 40 40 50
MOUNT IDA AR 68 81 67 82 / 60 40 40 60
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 64 76 63 77 / 70 80 60 80
NEWPORT AR 67 81 67 80 / 60 70 60 70
PINE BLUFF AR 68 82 67 83 / 60 50 40 50
RUSSELLVILLE AR 67 80 67 81 / 70 60 50 60
SEARCY AR 66 80 65 81 / 70 70 50 70
STUTTGART AR 69 81 68 82 / 60 60 50 60
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...67
AVIATION...62
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