748
FXUS64 KLZK 290534 AAA
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1234 AM CDT FRI MAY 29 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 123 PM CDT THU MAY 28 2026
-UNSETTLED PATTERN WILL PROVIDE CONTINUED DAILY RAIN CHANCES
ACROSS THE STATE.
-NEAR TO BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED THROUGH THE END OF THE
WORK WEEK.
-SEVERE WEATHER CHANCES ARE VERY LOW, SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
IS POSSIBLE.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 123 PM CDT THU MAY 28 2026
OUTLOOK THROUGH TONIGHT...
SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ENCOMPASS THE WESTERN HALF OF THE
STATE EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. SEVERAL FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE
CURRENTLY IN EFFECT, WHICH PROMPTED THE ISSUANCE OF A FLOOD WATCH
FOR THE FIRST SEVERAL NORTHERN ROWS OF COUNTIES IN THE CWA UNTIL
7 AM FRIDAY MORNING (INCLUDES THE CITIES RUSSELLVILLE, HARRISON,
CONWAY, SEARCY, AND BATESVILLE).
LATEST SATELLITE AND RADAR DEPICTS A SECONDARY MCV CIRCULATION
THAT HAS TRACKED NORTH OF THE TULSA AREA FROM THE PARENT
CIRCULATION LOCATED IN WESTERN KANSAS. THIS DEVELOPMENT IS
ENHANCING THE LINE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS THAT ARE
TRACKING/TRAINING OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF THE STATE. MORE ROBUST
CONVECTION ACROSS THE NORTH-CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE STATE ARE
RESULTING IN HIGHER RAIN RATES (3-5" OR GREATER ESTIMATES BY MRMS)
THAN THE SOUTHERN AREAS (GAUGES MEASURED 1-2"), PROMPTING FLASH
FLOOD WARNINGS.
ANOTHER APPARENT CIRCULATION AREA LOCATED ACROSS NORTHERN
LOUISIANA WILL CONTINUE TO PROMOTE SHOWER AND STORM ACTIVITY AS
CAMS SHOW THIS CIRCULATION LIFTING NORTHWARD THROUGH THE CENTRAL
PORTIONS OF THE STATE INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THUS, AREAS THAT
RECEIVED SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL AMOUNTS, EITHER FROM LAST NIGHT'S
ACTIVITY (CENTRAL ARKANSAS) OR TODAY'S ACTIVITY (NORTHERN
ARKANSAS) WILL CONTINUE TO PROMOTE A FLASH FLOOD THREAT THROUGH
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. SHOWERS/STORMS MAY LINGER PAST MIDNIGHT FOR
CENTRAL ARKANSAS, WITH THE ACTIVITY LINGERING EVEN INTO THE
MORNING HOURS FRIDAY FOR NORTHERN ARKANSAS.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1229 AM CDT FRI MAY 29 2026
MORE SCATTERED SHRA AND ISOLATED TSRA CONTINUES TO LIFT NORTH OVER
THE STATE EARLY THIS FRI MORNING...WHICH MAY IMPACT MOST TERMINALS
OFF AND ON THROUGHOUT THE OVERNIGHT/EARLY MORNING PERIOD. SOME
MVFR OR LOWER CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE INTO THE MORNING HRS.
IMPROVING CONDTIONS WILL BE SEEN BY MID MORNING...BUT ADDITIONAL
CONVECTION WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON HRS.
EXPECT THE POTENTIAL FOR CONVECTION TO DECREASE LATE IN THE
PERIOD.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 66 83 66 83 / 30 30 30 20
CAMDEN AR 67 91 70 91 / 10 10 30 30
HARRISON AR 64 82 65 83 / 20 50 30 30
HOT SPRINGS AR 68 88 70 88 / 10 30 20 30
LITTLE ROCK AR 67 86 69 86 / 20 20 30 20
MONTICELLO AR 68 89 70 89 / 20 20 30 30
MOUNT IDA AR 68 87 70 87 / 10 30 20 30
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 64 82 64 83 / 30 30 30 30
NEWPORT AR 67 84 67 84 / 30 20 30 20
PINE BLUFF AR 68 88 70 88 / 20 20 30 30
RUSSELLVILLE AR 68 87 70 87 / 10 20 30 30
SEARCY AR 65 85 66 85 / 30 20 20 10
STUTTGART AR 69 86 70 86 / 20 10 20 10
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR ARZ004>007-014>016-
024-031>033-103-112-113-121>123-203-212-213-221>223-313.
DISCUSSION...77
AVIATION...62
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