852
FXUS64 KLZK 030651
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
151 AM CDT WED JUN 3 2026
..NEW KEY MESSAGES, DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 150 AM CDT WED JUN 3 2026
-DRIER AND MORE COMFORTABLE CONDITIONS TODAY...WITH LOW CHANCES FOR
RAINFALL
-MUGGY CONDITIONS RETURN STARTING THURSDAY...AND ESPECIALLY BY THIS
WEEKEND
-CHANCES FOR RAINFALL RETURN THURSDAY OVER WESTERN ARKANSAS...BUT
MORE UNSETTLED CONDITIONS RETURN BY THE WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 150 AM CDT WED JUN 3 2026
DRIER AND COOLER AIR IS FILTERING INTO THE STATE BEHIND A FRONT THAT
PUSHED SOUTH/SW INTO THE STATE ON TUE. NERLY SFC WINDS WILL CONTINUE
TO USHER IN LOWER DEWPTS...AND UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE
OVER WRN TN THIS AFTERNOON. THE LOWER DEWPTS WILL ALLOW FOR MORE
COMFORTABLE CONDITIONS TODAY...AND COMBINED WITH THE UPPER RIDGE
JUST EAST OF THE CWA...LIMITED CHANCES FOR PRECIP ARE FORECAST INTO
THIS AFTERNOON.
THE UPPER RIDGE OVER WRN TN THIS AFTERNOON WILL SHIFT BACK EAST
TONIGHT INTO THU...AND SRLY UPPER FLOW WILL ALLOW A WEAK UPPER WAVE
TO LIFT NORTH OVER WRN SECTIONS. AS THIS HAPPENS...A WARM FRONT WILL
LIFT NORTH...WITH SRLY SFC FLOW RETURNING. CHANCES FOR CONVECTION
WILL RETURN TO THE FORECAST ON THU AS A RESULT...ESPECIALLY FOR WRN
SECTIONS.
BEYOND THU...FLOW ALOFT WILL BECOME SWRLY OVER THE REGION...WITH AN
UPPER LOW LIFTING NORTH FROM TX INTO THE PLAINS THIS WEEKEND INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL KEEP SW FLOW OVER AR...AND MOISTURE
LEVELS WILL REMAIN HIGH. AS A RESULT...AN ACTIVE PATTERN WILL RETURN
TO THE FORECAST...WITH CHANCES FOR CONVECTION OFF AND ON FROM
FRI...THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK. WHILE NO MAJOR SYSTEMS ARE
CURRENTLY NOTED FOR ANY FOCUS FOR ORGANIZED SVR WX AND WIDESPREAD
HEAVY RAINFALL...SOME DAY-TO-DAY POTENTIAL FOR SOME ISOLATED SVR
CONVECTION MAY DEVELOP...AS WELL AS SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
WHICH MAY RESULT IN SOME ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1118 PM CDT TUE JUN 2 2026
EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS TO REMAIN DOMINANT THROUGH THIS TAF PERIOD.
DRIER AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE STATE TONIGHT AS NERLY FLOW
INCREASE...KEEPING PRECIP CHANCES LOW.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 81 62 82 62 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN AR 86 66 84 65 / 0 0 0 0
HARRISON AR 78 59 80 63 / 0 0 0 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 84 65 83 65 / 0 0 10 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 82 65 82 64 / 0 0 0 0
MONTICELLO AR 85 66 84 64 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNT IDA AR 84 65 82 66 / 0 10 20 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 79 60 80 63 / 0 0 0 0
NEWPORT AR 83 64 83 63 / 0 0 0 0
PINE BLUFF AR 84 65 83 64 / 0 0 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 83 65 83 66 / 0 0 10 0
SEARCY AR 83 62 83 61 / 0 0 0 0
STUTTGART AR 84 66 83 64 / 0 0 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...62
AVIATION...62
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