934
FXUS64 KLZK 032338
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
638 PM CDT WED JUN 3 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 150 AM CDT WED JUN 3 2026
-DRIER AND MORE COMFORTABLE CONDITIONS TODAY...WITH LOW CHANCES FOR
RAINFALL
-MUGGY CONDITIONS RETURN STARTING THURSDAY...AND ESPECIALLY BY THIS
WEEKEND
-CHANCES FOR RAINFALL RETURN THURSDAY OVER WESTERN ARKANSAS...BUT
MORE UNSETTLED CONDITIONS RETURN BY THE WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 150 AM CDT WED JUN 3 2026
DRIER AND COOLER AIR IS FILTERING INTO THE STATE BEHIND A FRONT THAT
PUSHED SOUTH/SW INTO THE STATE ON TUE. NERLY SFC WINDS WILL CONTINUE
TO USHER IN LOWER DEWPTS...AND UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE
OVER WRN TN THIS AFTERNOON. THE LOWER DEWPTS WILL ALLOW FOR MORE
COMFORTABLE CONDITIONS TODAY...AND COMBINED WITH THE UPPER RIDGE
JUST EAST OF THE CWA...LIMITED CHANCES FOR PRECIP ARE FORECAST INTO
THIS AFTERNOON.
THE UPPER RIDGE OVER WRN TN THIS AFTERNOON WILL SHIFT BACK EAST
TONIGHT INTO THU...AND SRLY UPPER FLOW WILL ALLOW A WEAK UPPER WAVE
TO LIFT NORTH OVER WRN SECTIONS. AS THIS HAPPENS...A WARM FRONT WILL
LIFT NORTH...WITH SRLY SFC FLOW RETURNING. CHANCES FOR CONVECTION
WILL RETURN TO THE FORECAST ON THU AS A RESULT...ESPECIALLY FOR WRN
SECTIONS.
BEYOND THU...FLOW ALOFT WILL BECOME SWRLY OVER THE REGION...WITH AN
UPPER LOW LIFTING NORTH FROM TX INTO THE PLAINS THIS WEEKEND INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL KEEP SW FLOW OVER AR...AND MOISTURE
LEVELS WILL REMAIN HIGH. AS A RESULT...AN ACTIVE PATTERN WILL RETURN
TO THE FORECAST...WITH CHANCES FOR CONVECTION OFF AND ON FROM
FRI...THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK. WHILE NO MAJOR SYSTEMS ARE
CURRENTLY NOTED FOR ANY FOCUS FOR ORGANIZED SVR WX AND WIDESPREAD
HEAVY RAINFALL...SOME DAY-TO-DAY POTENTIAL FOR SOME ISOLATED SVR
CONVECTION MAY DEVELOP...AS WELL AS SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
WHICH MAY RESULT IN SOME ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 632 PM CDT WED JUN 3 2026
VFR CONDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE EVENING WITH WINDS REMAINING
ERLY AT LESS THAN 10 KTS. MVFR CIGS ARE EXPECTED TO ADVECT INTO
WRN AR FROM THE S BETWEEN 12-18Z. CIGS ARE EXPECTED TO LIFT BY
MID DAY WITH SHRA/ISOLATED TSRA POSSIBLE OVER WRN TERMINALS
DURING THE AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BECOME SWRLY AROUND 10 KTS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 63 82 65 84 / 0 0 10 0
CAMDEN AR 69 83 66 86 / 10 20 10 0
HARRISON AR 61 79 65 81 / 0 10 10 20
HOT SPRINGS AR 68 80 67 84 / 10 30 10 10
LITTLE ROCK AR 67 81 66 84 / 0 10 10 0
MONTICELLO AR 69 84 65 86 / 0 0 0 10
MOUNT IDA AR 68 79 67 83 / 10 40 10 10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 61 80 64 82 / 0 10 10 20
NEWPORT AR 65 83 66 85 / 0 0 0 0
PINE BLUFF AR 69 83 66 85 / 0 0 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 67 81 67 84 / 0 40 10 10
SEARCY AR 64 83 64 85 / 0 10 10 0
STUTTGART AR 68 83 67 85 / 0 0 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...70
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