251
FXUS64 KLZK 091713 AAA
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1213 PM CDT THU JUL 9 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 140 AM CDT THU JUL 9 2026
-TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE STATE WILL REMAIN NEAR NORMAL TO A FEW
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
-RAIN AND ISOLATED STORM CHANCES WILL BECOME LESS WIDESPREAD, BUT
BE PRESENT FROM I-40 NORTHWARD ON THURSDAY AND ACROSS NORTHERN
ARKANSAS ON FRIDAY.
-A COLD FRONT WILL DIVE FROM THE NORTH OUT OF MISSOURI INTO
ARKANSAS TO FINISH THE OUT THE WEEKEND BRINGING AN INCREASED
CHANCE OF WIDESPREAD RAIN AND STORMS TO THE ARKANSAS ON SUNDAY
INTO THE DAY ON MONDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 140 AM CDT THU JUL 9 2026
THE STATE OF ARKANSAS WILL REMAIN UNDER THE EASTERN EDGE OF A H500
RIDGE THROUGH FRIDAY. INTO THE WEEKEND, A RIDGE PATTERN BEGINS TO
AMPLIFY OVER THE WESTERN REGION OF THE CONUS, CENTERED OVER THE FOUR
CORNERS REGION WHICH WILL RESULT IN NORTHWEST FLOW OVER ARKANSAS.
INTO THE NEXT WORKWEEK, THE CENTER OF THE RIDGE BECOMES FIXATED OVER
THE NORTHERN PLAINS REGION OF THE CONUS WITH EASTERLY FLOW OVERALL
FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD OVER ARKANSAS.
AT THE SFC, A WARM FRONT WILL REMAIN DRAPED NEAR THE
ARKANSAS/MISSOURI BORDER KEEPING RESPECTABLE POP CHANCES IN THE
FORECAST THROUGH FRIDAY ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE STATE. INTO
THE WEEKEND, THIS FEATURE WILL MOVE NORTHWARD INTO MISSOURI AND STALL
AS A STATIONARY FRONT ACROSS CENTRAL MISSOURI, BUT REMAIN IN CLOSE
ENOUGH PROXIMITY TO WARRANT DECENT POP CHANCES ACROSS THE FAR
NORTHERN TIER OF ARKANSAS. INTO THE LATE WEEKEND/UPCOMING WORKWEEK,
THIS FEATURE IS PROGGED TO BECOME A COLD FRONT AND DIVE BACK
SOUTHWARD INTO ARKANSAS BY MONDAY. AS THIS TRANSITION OCCURS,
INCREASED POP CHANCES WILL BE NOTED STATEWIDE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.
FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WORKWEEK OR THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK, POP
CHANCES ARE EXPECTED TO LOWER SLIGHTLY, BUT REMAIN PRESENT AS A FEW
UPPER LVL DISTURBANCES MEANDER OVER THE STATE TO CLOSE OUT THE
PERIOD.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1211 PM CDT THU JUL 9 2026
GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD ALONG WITH
S-SW WINDS AROUND 7-10 KTS WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS ABOVE 15 KTS.
ISOLATED TS DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE THROUGH THE PERIOD, WITH THE
HIGHEST CHANCES GENERALLY ACROSS NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE STATE.
SOME WIND SHEAR WILL BE IN PLACE OVERNIGHT THROUGH 10/13Z FRIDAY
MORNING.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 78 95 76 91 / 10 20 40 60
CAMDEN AR 76 96 76 93 / 0 0 0 20
HARRISON AR 78 94 75 88 / 10 20 30 70
HOT SPRINGS AR 78 95 77 93 / 0 0 10 20
LITTLE ROCK AR 79 97 78 93 / 0 0 10 40
MONTICELLO AR 77 96 78 93 / 0 0 0 30
MOUNT IDA AR 77 93 77 91 / 0 0 10 20
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 77 93 74 87 / 20 30 40 70
NEWPORT AR 78 96 76 92 / 10 20 30 60
PINE BLUFF AR 77 95 77 93 / 10 0 10 40
RUSSELLVILLE AR 79 96 78 93 / 0 10 10 30
SEARCY AR 77 96 76 93 / 0 10 10 60
STUTTGART AR 78 96 77 93 / 0 0 10 40
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR ARZ016-025-033-034-
045>047-057-065.
SHORT TERM...74
LONG TERM....74
AVIATION...67
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