945
FXUS64 KLZK 131639 AAA
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1139 AM CDT MON JUL 13 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 238 AM CDT MON JUL 13 2026
-ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE
THROUGHOUT THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING...MAINLY ACROSS SOUTHERN
ARKANSAS
-TEMPERATURES OVERALL ACROSS THE STATE WILL REMAIN NEAR TO MAYBE
A FEW DEGREES BELOW NORMAL THROUGH MID-WEEK
-EXPECT HOTTER CONDITIONS LATER IN THE WEEK INTO THE UPCOMING
WEEKEND...WITH HEAT LEVELS APPROACH ADVISORY LEVELS FOR SOME
LOCATIONS
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 238 AM CDT MON JUL 13 2026
IN THE UPPER LVLS, BETWEEN TODAY (MONDAY) AND THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF
THE WEEK, AN ELONGATED REGION OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE NOTED OVER
THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND GREAT LAKES REGIONS OF THE CONUS.
CONSEQUENTLY, FROM THE PLACEMENT OF THE ELONGATED REGION OF THE
UPPER LVL HIGH PRESSURE WILL RESULT IN AN UPPER LVL LOW PRESSURE
CENTER TO RETROGRADE WESTWARD FROM OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER
VALLEY REGION OF THE CONUS TO OVER TEXAS. THE UPPER LVL HIGH
PRESSURE FEATURE BEGINS TO BREAK DOWN LATER INTO THE WEEK AND
WEEKEND TRANSITIONING INTO A BROAD, BUT INTENSE REGION OF RIDGING
OVER THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL REGIONS OF THE CONUS WITH ARKANSAS ON
THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE UPPER LVL RIDGE.
AT THE SFC, TODAY (MONDAY), A STATIONARY BOUNDARY WILL BE FIXATED
ALONG THE ARKANSAS/LOUISIANA BORDER WHICH WILL EQUATE TO INCREASED
POP CHANCES TO REMAIN FOR SOUTHERN ARKANSAS. INTO TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY, WIDESPREAD POP CHANCES WILL BECOME ELEVATED ACROSS THE
ENTIRE STATE AS THE STATIONARY FRONT BEGINS TO LIFT NORTHWARD AS A
WARM FRONT OVER THIS TWO-DAY PERIOD. INTO LATE WEEK AND THE WEEKEND,
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE REGION IN CLOSE PROXIMITY TO
ARKANSAS WHICH WILL ASSIST IN KEEPING POP CHANCES SUPPRESSED OVER
THIS PERIOD.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1135 AM CDT MON JUL 13 2026
SOME ISOLATED CONVECTION WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS SRN SECTIONS
THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED
CENTRAL TO NRN AR. DOMINANT VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
AGAIN...ESPECIALLY AFTER ANY CONVECTION DISSIPATES.
HOWEVER...THERE COULD BE SOME PATCHY MVFR FOG NEAR SUNRISE
TUE...ESPECIALLY WHERE RAIN FALLS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 90 70 89 71 / 0 0 40 60
CAMDEN AR 90 70 89 69 / 20 10 40 40
HARRISON AR 89 67 88 69 / 0 0 20 30
HOT SPRINGS AR 92 72 90 71 / 20 10 40 40
LITTLE ROCK AR 92 73 89 72 / 10 10 50 50
MONTICELLO AR 91 72 88 71 / 20 10 60 40
MOUNT IDA AR 90 71 89 70 / 20 10 30 30
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 89 68 88 70 / 0 0 20 30
NEWPORT AR 91 72 89 72 / 0 0 60 50
PINE BLUFF AR 90 71 88 70 / 10 10 60 50
RUSSELLVILLE AR 94 72 91 72 / 10 10 40 40
SEARCY AR 92 71 90 71 / 0 0 60 60
STUTTGART AR 91 72 89 72 / 10 0 70 60
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...74
AVIATION...62
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