287
FXUS64 KLZK 010657
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
157 AM CDT SAT AUG 1 2026
..NEW CURRENTLY, KEY MESSAGES, DISCUSSION
CURRENTLY
ISSUED AT 155 AM CDT SAT AUG 1 2026
AS OF NEARLY 2 AM CDT, A COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO PUSH ACROSS
ARKANSAS TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARD... EXTENDING ALONG A LINE FROM
CORNING TO BATESVILLE TO CONWAY TO HOT SPRINGS TO MURFREESBORO TO
ASHDOWN. ISOLATED AREAS OF SHOWERS AND A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
(ACROSS NORTHEASTERN ARKANSAS) HAVE BEEN NOTED ALONG THIS
ADVANCING FRONTAL BOUNDARY. THE PARAMETER SPACE THAT THESE
ISOLATED AREAS OF BOTH SHOWERS AND CONVECTION CONTINUE TO MOVE
INTO REMAINS UNFAVORABLE FOR ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER AND MANY
LOCATIONS WITH MAY SEE NO PRECIPITATION AT ALL.
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 155 AM CDT SAT AUG 1 2026
-SOMEWHAT COOLER AND DRIER AIR EXPECTED BEHIND THE COLD FRONT FOR
THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK
-TEMPERATURES WILL INCREASE BY THE MIDDLE TO LATTER PART OF NEXT
WEEK...WITH HEAT HEADLINES POSSIBLE ONCE AGAIN
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 155 AM CDT SAT AUG 1 2026
SATURDAY (TODAY)/SUNDAY/MONDAY:
A COOLER AND DRIER AIRMASS IS PROGGED TO OCCUPY THE STATE BEHIND THE
COLD FRONT WHICH MOVED ACROSS THE STATE ON FRIDAY NIGHT. AT THE SFC,
HIGH PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE REGION AND OVERALL TEMPERATURES NEAR TO
BELOW NORMAL WILL BE OBSERVED OVER THIS THREE-DAY STRETCH. THE COLD
FRONT IS PROGGED TO COMPLETELY CLEAR EASTERN ARKANSAS AND THE MID-
SOUTH REGION OF THE CONUS BY MID-DAY TODAY. IN RESPONSE, POPS WILL
LOWER TO NEAR ZERO OVER THIS PERIOD ACROSS ARKANSAS WITH EXTREMELY
COMFORTABLE TEMPERATURES FOR THE FIRST WEEKEND OF AUGUST INTO THE
BEGINNING OF THE UPCOMING WORKWEEK.
TUESDAY/WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY/FRIDAY:
AN ELONGATED UPPER LVL RIDGE BEGINS TO STRENGTHEN OVER THE ENTIRE
SOUTHERN TIER OF THE CONUS EXTENDING FROM OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN
REGION OF THE CONUS TO OVER THE MID-SOUTH REGION OF THE CONUS. AT
THE SFC, HIGH PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE REGION. CONSEQUENTLY,
TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE OVERALL AND A HOT AND DRY
PATTERN WILL ONCE AGAIN TAKE CONTROL OF THE FORECAST. BY THE MIDDLE
OF THE UPCOMING WEEK, HEAT PRODUCTS WILL ONCE AGAIN LIKELY BE
WARRANTED ACROSS MOST OF THE STATE AND POP CHANCES WILL DIMINISH.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1231 AM CDT SAT AUG 1 2026
MVFR CIGS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL OVER NRN SITES WITH THE
APPROACH OF AN UPPER LEVEL LOW. OUTSIDE OF NRN AR, VFR CONDS ARE
EXPECTED TO PREVAIL. WINDS WILL SWITCH THE NW IN THE WAKE OF THE
FRONT AND BECOME GUSTY. WINDS MAY GUSTS BETWEEN 20-30 KTS ON SAT.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 83 70 87 67 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN AR 92 70 90 69 / 0 0 0 0
HARRISON AR 79 66 86 64 / 0 0 0 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 91 71 92 69 / 0 0 0 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 91 72 91 70 / 0 0 0 0
MONTICELLO AR 94 73 90 70 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNT IDA AR 89 68 90 66 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 78 67 85 65 / 0 0 0 0
NEWPORT AR 84 71 87 69 / 0 0 0 0
PINE BLUFF AR 91 71 89 70 / 0 0 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 89 71 92 69 / 0 0 0 0
SEARCY AR 87 70 88 69 / 0 0 0 0
STUTTGART AR 90 72 88 71 / 0 0 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...74
LONG TERM....74
AVIATION...70
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