361
FXUS64 KLZK 250739
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
239 AM CDT TUE AUG 25 2026
..NEW KEY MESSAGES, DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 238 AM CDT TUE AUG 25 2026
-TEMPERATURES WILL INCREASE ACROSS MUCH OF THE STATE TODAY AS MANY
LOCATIONS YESTERDAY EXPERIENCED WELL-BELOW NORMAL HIGH
TEMPERATURES DUE TO RAINFALL AND CLOUD COVER.
-CHANCES FOR RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN IN THE FORECAST FOR
PARTS OF THE STATE THROUGH THURSDAY.
-THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL EXPAND EASTWARD PARTIALLY OVER
ARKANSAS GOING INTO THE WEEKEND WITH HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS
EXPECTED.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 238 AM CDT TUE AUG 25 2026
TUESDAY (TODAY) THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT:
THE TREND OF UPPER LVL NORTHWESTERLY FLOW CONTINUES OVER ARKANSAS
WITH THE CENTER OF THE UPPER LVL RIDGE FIXATED OVER THE FOUR CORNERS
REGION OF THE CONUS. A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES WITHIN THIS UPPER LEVEL
PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT WHICH WILL
ALLOW A SERIES OF FRONTAL BOUNDARIES TO BE PUSHED ACROSS ARKANSAS AT
THE SFC AND RESULT IN INCREASED POP CHANCES ON WEDNESDAY INTO
THURSDAY FOR PARTS OF THE STATE.
EXPECT A SERIES OF WEAK BOUNDARIES TO TRACK ACROSS THE STATE OF
ARKANSAS DURING THIS PERIOD WHICH WILL LEAD TO CHANCES FOR ISOLATED
RAIN AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.
TEMPERATURES OVERALL ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE AVERAGE COMPARED
TO NORMALS FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR AS COVERAGE OF PRECIPITATION IS
NOT EXPECTED TO BE AS WIDESPREAD OR HAVE THE LONGEVITY THROUGHOUT
THE DAY WHICH WAS EXPERIENCED ON MONDAY KEEPING A LARGE CORRIDOR OF
THE STATE IN THE 80S FOR HIGH TEMPERATURES.
FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY:
THE CENTER OF THE UPPER LVL RIDGE IS PROGGED TO BEGIN SHIFTING
EASTWARD TRAVERSING INTO THE WEEKEND, TRANSITIONING FROM BEING
POSITIONED OVER THE FOUR CORNERS REGION OF THE CONUS TO MOVING OVER
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS REGION OF THE CONUS AND BECOMING ELONGATED WITH
THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF THIS UPPER LVL RIDGE OVER ARKANSAS. IN
RESPONSE, POP CHANCES WILL DIMINISH OVER THIS PERIOD AND HIGH
TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE STATE WILL BEGIN TO TICK UPWARD WITH MANY
LOCATIONS REACHING THE CENTURY MARK BY LATE WEEKEND GOING INTO THE
UPCOMING WORKWEEK.
EXPECT A DECREASE OF POP CHANCES TO NEAR ZERO WITH HOT AND DRY
CONDITIONS RETURNING TO HEADLINE THE FORECAST OVER THIS PERIOD ALONG
WITH TEMPERATURES TRENDING A FEW DEGREES UPWARD OVERALL WITH MANY
LOCATIONS EXPERIENCING HIGH TEMPERATURES AROUND 100 DEGREES BY LATE
WEEKEND INTO THE UPCOMING WORKWEEK.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1233 AM CDT TUE AUG 25 2026
AN AREA OF VCTS IS MOVING ACROSS PARTS OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL
ARKANSAS AND WILL TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD IMPACTING THE SITES OF KHOT,
KADF, KLIT, KPBF, AND KLLQ OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD WHICH MAY DROP
CIGS TO MVFR CATEGORY TUESDAY MORNING AND BE OUT OF THE STATE BY
MIDDAY ON TUESDAY WHEN ALL SITES WILL EXPERIENCE FLIGHT CATEGORY
RETURN TO VFR.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 95 73 96 72 / 20 20 20 40
CAMDEN AR 96 73 97 72 / 20 0 20 50
HARRISON AR 90 71 90 68 / 0 20 30 30
HOT SPRINGS AR 98 74 97 72 / 10 10 20 30
LITTLE ROCK AR 96 75 96 74 / 10 20 20 40
MONTICELLO AR 94 74 96 73 / 30 10 20 60
MOUNT IDA AR 98 71 97 70 / 10 10 20 30
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 91 71 92 69 / 10 20 30 30
NEWPORT AR 94 73 95 73 / 20 30 20 50
PINE BLUFF AR 94 73 95 72 / 20 20 20 50
RUSSELLVILLE AR 97 74 96 72 / 0 20 30 30
SEARCY AR 94 72 95 72 / 20 30 20 40
STUTTGART AR 94 74 95 73 / 20 20 20 50
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...74
LONG TERM....74
AVIATION...74
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