789
FXUS64 KLZK 260447 AAA
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1147 PM CDT TUE AUG 25 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 238 AM CDT TUE AUG 25 2026
-TEMPERATURES WILL INCREASE ACROSS MUCH OF THE STATE TODAY AS MANY
LOCATIONS YESTERDAY EXPERIENCED WELL-BELOW NORMAL HIGH
TEMPERATURES DUE TO RAINFALL AND CLOUD COVER.
-CHANCES FOR RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN IN THE FORECAST FOR
PARTS OF THE STATE THROUGH THURSDAY.
-THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL EXPAND EASTWARD PARTIALLY OVER
ARKANSAS GOING INTO THE WEEKEND WITH HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS
EXPECTED.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 238 AM CDT TUE AUG 25 2026
THE TREND OF UPPER LVL NORTHWESTERLY FLOW CONTINUES OVER ARKANSAS
WITH THE CENTER OF THE UPPER LVL RIDGE FIXATED OVER THE FOUR CORNERS
REGION OF THE CONUS. A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES WITHIN THIS UPPER LEVEL
PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT WHICH WILL
ALLOW A SERIES OF FRONTAL BOUNDARIES TO BE PUSHED ACROSS ARKANSAS AT
THE SFC AND RESULT IN INCREASED POP CHANCES ON WEDNESDAY INTO
THURSDAY FOR PARTS OF THE STATE.
EXPECT A SERIES OF WEAK BOUNDARIES TO TRACK ACROSS THE STATE OF
ARKANSAS DURING THIS PERIOD WHICH WILL LEAD TO CHANCES FOR ISOLATED
RAIN AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.
TEMPERATURES OVERALL ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE AVERAGE COMPARED
TO NORMALS FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR AS COVERAGE OF PRECIPITATION IS
NOT EXPECTED TO BE AS WIDESPREAD OR HAVE THE LONGEVITY THROUGHOUT
THE DAY WHICH WAS EXPERIENCED ON MONDAY KEEPING A LARGE CORRIDOR OF
THE STATE IN THE 80S FOR HIGH TEMPERATURES.
FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY:
THE CENTER OF THE UPPER LVL RIDGE IS PROGGED TO BEGIN SHIFTING
EASTWARD TRAVERSING INTO THE WEEKEND, TRANSITIONING FROM BEING
POSITIONED OVER THE FOUR CORNERS REGION OF THE CONUS TO MOVING OVER
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS REGION OF THE CONUS AND BECOMING ELONGATED WITH
THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF THIS UPPER LVL RIDGE OVER ARKANSAS. IN
RESPONSE, POP CHANCES WILL DIMINISH OVER THIS PERIOD AND HIGH
TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE STATE WILL BEGIN TO TICK UPWARD WITH MANY
LOCATIONS REACHING THE CENTURY MARK BY LATE WEEKEND GOING INTO THE
UPCOMING WORKWEEK.
EXPECT A DECREASE OF POP CHANCES TO NEAR ZERO WITH HOT AND DRY
CONDITIONS RETURNING TO HEADLINE THE FORECAST OVER THIS PERIOD ALONG
WITH TEMPERATURES TRENDING A FEW DEGREES UPWARD OVERALL WITH MANY
LOCATIONS EXPERIENCING HIGH TEMPERATURES AROUND 100 DEGREES BY LATE
WEEKEND INTO THE UPCOMING WORKWEEK.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1143 PM CDT TUE AUG 25 2026
SOME SPOTTY CONVECTION MAY BE SEEN DURING THE OVERNIGHT
PERIOD...BUT BETTER CHANCES FOR CONVECTION COME DURING THE
AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING HRS ON WED. THERE MAY ALSO BE SOME PATCHY
FOG WED MORNING...BUT MOST SITES SHOULD REMAIN VFR.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 73 95 71 94 / 20 40 50 10
CAMDEN AR 72 99 71 94 / 0 30 60 20
HARRISON AR 71 90 67 88 / 10 60 40 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 73 98 72 94 / 0 30 60 10
LITTLE ROCK AR 75 98 73 94 / 10 40 70 10
MONTICELLO AR 74 98 72 92 / 10 30 70 20
MOUNT IDA AR 70 97 69 94 / 0 30 40 10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 71 91 69 90 / 20 50 50 0
NEWPORT AR 74 94 72 92 / 20 30 60 10
PINE BLUFF AR 73 97 71 91 / 10 30 70 20
RUSSELLVILLE AR 74 96 71 95 / 0 40 60 10
SEARCY AR 73 95 71 92 / 20 40 60 10
STUTTGART AR 74 96 73 92 / 20 30 70 20
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...74
AVIATION...62
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