241
FXUS64 KLZK 012342 AAA
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
642 PM CDT TUE SEP 1 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 154 PM CDT TUE SEP 1 2026
-A HEAT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY ACROSS EASTERN
ARKANSAS, A LARGE PART OF CENTRAL ARKANSAS, THE ARKANSAS RIVER
VALLEY, AND A PORTION OF WEST-CENTRAL ARKANSAS
-HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE, WITH NEAR ZERO RAIN CHANCES
UNTIL ATE THIS WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 219 AM CDT TUE SEP 1 2026
TUESDAY (TODAY) THROUGH THURSDAY:
THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CONTINUES TO PERSIST OVER ARKANSAS WHICH WILL
FAVOR THE CONTINUED TREND OF HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS. TROPICAL STORM
EDOUARD IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL THIS AFTERNOON ALONG THE
COASTLINE BETWEEN THE HOUSTON/GALVESTON METRO AND THE
TEXAS/LOUISIANA BORDER. HOWEVER, THIS TOPICAL FEATURE IS EXPECTED TO
HAVE NO BEARING UPON THE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS ARKANSAS DUE TO
THE WEAK TROPICAL SYSTEM AND COMPETING SOLIDIFIED CENTER OF THE
RIDGE OVER ARKANSAS WHICH HAS BEEN PROVIDING A SOURCE OF DRY-AIR
ENTRAINMENT OR WEAKENING THE TROPICAL SYSTEM OVERALL. ADDITIONALLY,
THE REMNANTS OF THE TROPICAL SYSTEM ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ON A
NORTHWESTERLY COURSE AS IT ENTERS TEXAS AND APPROACHES THE I-35
CORRIDOR IN CENTRAL TEXAS BEFORE DISSIPATING ALTOGETHER.
EXPECT HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE ACROSS ARKANSAS WITH NO
RELIEF FORECAST FROM THE EVENTUAL REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD
WHICH WILL REMAIN WELL WEST OF THE STATE.
FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY:
THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BROADENS OVER THE ENTIRE REGION, FROM OVER THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS REGION OF THE CONUS EXTENDING EASTWARD TO OVER THE
SOUTHEASTERN REGION OF THE CONUS, THIS INCLUDES REMAINING OVER
ARKANSAS. THE STRONGEST OR CENTER PORTION OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
WILL TRANSITION OVER THIS PERIOD FROM OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN REGION
OF THE CONUS BACK WESTWARD OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS REGION OF THE
CONUS. ARKANSAS WILL REMAIN UNDER THE RIDGE AND NOT MUCH CHANCE IN
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED. HOWEVER, THE COMBINATION OF A STATIONARY
BOUNDARY POSITIONED ACROSS THE MID-WEST REGION OF THE CONUS AND A
CENTER OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE POSITIONED ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC
REGION OF THE CONUS WILL PROVIDE SOUTHERLY MOISTURE RETURN AT THE
SURFACE WHICH MAY COERCE A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS,
BUT POPS OR CHANCES OVERALL REMAIN VERY LOW IN THE 10% TO 30% RANGE
AND WOULD LIKELY IMPACT SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE STATE.
EXPECT HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE OVERALL WITH VERY LOW
CHANCES FOR A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THIS
PERIOD, WITH THOSE LIMITED CHANCES BEING RESERVED TO SOUTHERN
ARKANSAS.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 638 PM CDT TUE SEP 1 2026
VFR CONDNS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST AS UPPER HIGH PRESSURE
CONTINUES TO DRIVE THE LOCAL FCST PATTERN. REMAINING CU SHOULD
CONTINUE TO DISSIPATE, ALONG W/ SOME VCTY PRECIP ACTIVITY ACRS SRN
AR. WED, LIGHT SRLY WINDS WL PREVAIL.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 77 100 77 101 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN AR 73 97 73 97 / 0 0 0 10
HARRISON AR 74 95 73 95 / 0 0 0 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 75 98 75 97 / 0 0 0 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 77 99 77 100 / 0 0 0 0
MONTICELLO AR 76 96 76 96 / 0 0 0 10
MOUNT IDA AR 72 97 72 97 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 74 96 74 97 / 0 0 0 0
NEWPORT AR 76 98 76 99 / 0 0 0 0
PINE BLUFF AR 74 97 74 97 / 0 0 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 75 99 75 99 / 0 0 0 0
SEARCY AR 74 98 74 99 / 0 0 0 0
STUTTGART AR 76 98 76 98 / 0 0 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR ARZ007-008-016-017-025-
031>034-039-042>047-054>057-064-065-069-121-122-130-138-230-238.
DISCUSSION...77
AVIATION...72
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