876
FXUS64 KLZK 170600
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
100 AM CDT SAT OCT 17 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 100 AM CDT SAT OCT 17 2026
-MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS WEEKEND,
INCLUDING POSSIBLE PATCHY FROST CONDITIONS IN THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF PORTIONS OF NORTHERN ARKANSAS SUNDAY MORNING.
-WARMING TREND BACK TO ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS ARE POSSIBLE BY THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
-NO SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT WEEK OR SO WITH
DROUGHT CONDITIONS CONTINUING TO WORSEN.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 100 AM CDT SAT OCT 17 2026
SATELLITE EARLY THIS MORNING SHOWS SOME LOW CLOUDS STREAMING INTO
PARTS OF FAR NORTHERN ARKANSAS. THESE CLOUDS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH
SOME LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE UPPER TROUGH NOW
EAST OF THE STATE IN THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY THAT DRAGGED A COLD
FRONT THROUGH THE STATE ON FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE STATE
EARLY THIS MORNING ARE IN THE 50S WITH CLEAR SKIES ELSEWHERE IN
ARKANSAS. LOWS LATER THIS MORNING WILL BOTTOM OUT GENERALLY IN THE
40S ACROSS THE STATE WITH A FEW LOCATIONS POSSIBLY SEEING UPPER
30S ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN AREAS OF NORTHERN AND WESTERN
ARKANSAS. A FEW AREAS OF PATCHY FROST ARE NOT ENTIRELY OUT OF THE
QUESTION THIS MORNING AND SUNDAY MORNING AS WELL. TEMPERATURES
TODAY AND SUNDAY WILL BE ROUGHLY AROUND 5 TO 7 DEGREES FOR
AFTERNOON HIGHS FOR MID OCTOBER.
AS WE HEAD INTO THE DAY, HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD NORTH AND EASTWARD
INTO THE STATE BEHIND THE UPPER TROUGH WILL HAVE MOVED INTO THE
EASTERN US. ANOTHER DAY OF SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES IS
EXPECTED WITH NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS ACROSS THE STATE, BUT NOT
NEARLY AS BREEZY AS FRIDAY WITH WINDS GENERALLY 10 TO 15 MPH SEEN
ACROSS THE STATE WITH A FEW GUSTS AROUND 20 MPH POSSIBLE.
BY SUNDAY, THE RIDGE AXIS WILL EAST MOVE OVER THE STATE DURING THE
DAY, BEFORE MOVING INTO THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY SUNDAY EVENING INTO
MONDAY MORNING. THIS WILL ALLOW WINDS TO VEER FROM THE NORTH/NORTHEAST
TO SOUTH/SOUTHEAST BRINGING WARMER AIR NORTH INTO THE STATE.
TEMPERATURES BY MONDAY WILL TO ABOVE NORMAL DURING THE EARLY PART
OF NEXT WEEK, THEN WELL ABOVE NORMAL BY THE LATTER PART OF THE
WEEK. A FEW LOCATIONS DURING THE LATTER PART OF NEXT WEEK MAY
APPROACH RECORD TERRITORY FOR AFTERNOON HIGHS. DRY CONDITIONS WILL
UNFORTUNATELY PREVAIL AS LITTLE TO NO RAINFALL IS EXPECTED THROUGH
THE LATTER PART OF NEXT WEEK AND POSSIBLY LONGER.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1208 AM CDT SAT OCT 17 2026
VFR CONDTIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD
ACROSS ARKANSAS. LOW LEVEL CLOUDINESS OVER PARTS OF NORTH AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS EARLY THIS MORNING IS RUNNING INTO MUCH DRIER
AIR FURTHER SOUTH, WITH SKC EXPECTED AFTER SUNRISE. EXPECT BREEZY
NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS TODAY WITH A FEW ISOLATED GUSTS UP TO
AROUND 20KTS POSSIBLE MAINLY ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
TERMINALS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 65 40 71 41 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN AR 68 40 75 41 / 0 0 0 0
HARRISON AR 62 38 69 40 / 0 0 0 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 68 41 73 43 / 0 0 0 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 67 43 72 44 / 0 0 0 0
MONTICELLO AR 67 44 74 45 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNT IDA AR 67 40 72 41 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 63 39 68 40 / 0 0 0 0
NEWPORT AR 65 39 72 40 / 0 0 0 0
PINE BLUFF AR 67 39 73 41 / 0 0 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 68 41 72 42 / 0 0 0 0
SEARCY AR 66 40 72 41 / 0 0 0 0
STUTTGART AR 68 41 74 43 / 0 0 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...76
AVIATION...76
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