320
FXUS64 KLZK 172325
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
625 PM CDT SAT OCT 17 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 100 AM CDT SAT OCT 17 2026
-MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS WEEKEND,
INCLUDING POSSIBLE PATCHY FROST CONDITIONS IN THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF PORTIONS OF NORTHERN ARKANSAS SUNDAY MORNING.
-WARMING TREND BACK TO ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS ARE POSSIBLE BY THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
-NO SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT WEEK OR SO WITH
DROUGHT CONDITIONS CONTINUING TO WORSEN.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 100 AM CDT SAT OCT 17 2026
SATELLITE EARLY THIS MORNING SHOWS SOME LOW CLOUDS STREAMING INTO
PARTS OF FAR NORTHERN ARKANSAS. THESE CLOUDS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH
SOME LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE UPPER TROUGH NOW
EAST OF THE STATE IN THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY THAT DRAGGED A COLD
FRONT THROUGH THE STATE ON FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE STATE
EARLY THIS MORNING ARE IN THE 50S WITH CLEAR SKIES ELSEWHERE IN
ARKANSAS. LOWS LATER THIS MORNING WILL BOTTOM OUT GENERALLY IN THE
40S ACROSS THE STATE WITH A FEW LOCATIONS POSSIBLY SEEING UPPER
30S ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN AREAS OF NORTHERN AND WESTERN
ARKANSAS. A FEW AREAS OF PATCHY FROST ARE NOT ENTIRELY OUT OF THE
QUESTION THIS MORNING AND SUNDAY MORNING AS WELL. TEMPERATURES
TODAY AND SUNDAY WILL BE ROUGHLY AROUND 5 TO 7 DEGREES FOR
AFTERNOON HIGHS FOR MID OCTOBER.
AS WE HEAD INTO THE DAY, HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD NORTH AND EASTWARD
INTO THE STATE BEHIND THE UPPER TROUGH WILL HAVE MOVED INTO THE
EASTERN US. ANOTHER DAY OF SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES IS
EXPECTED WITH NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS ACROSS THE STATE, BUT NOT
NEARLY AS BREEZY AS FRIDAY WITH WINDS GENERALLY 10 TO 15 MPH SEEN
ACROSS THE STATE WITH A FEW GUSTS AROUND 20 MPH POSSIBLE.
BY SUNDAY, THE RIDGE AXIS WILL EAST MOVE OVER THE STATE DURING THE
DAY, BEFORE MOVING INTO THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY SUNDAY EVENING INTO
MONDAY MORNING. THIS WILL ALLOW WINDS TO VEER FROM THE NORTH/NORTHEAST
TO SOUTH/SOUTHEAST BRINGING WARMER AIR NORTH INTO THE STATE.
TEMPERATURES BY MONDAY WILL TO ABOVE NORMAL DURING THE EARLY PART
OF NEXT WEEK, THEN WELL ABOVE NORMAL BY THE LATTER PART OF THE
WEEK. A FEW LOCATIONS DURING THE LATTER PART OF NEXT WEEK MAY
APPROACH RECORD TERRITORY FOR AFTERNOON HIGHS. DRY CONDITIONS WILL
UNFORTUNATELY PREVAIL AS LITTLE TO NO RAINFALL IS EXPECTED THROUGH
THE LATTER PART OF NEXT WEEK AND POSSIBLY LONGER.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 624 PM CDT SAT OCT 17 2026
WIDESPREAD VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD. WINDS
WILL BE OUT OF THE N/NE THROUGH THE PERIOD AND COULD CONTINUE TO
BE GUSTY THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. WITH THAT SAID, WIND SPEEDS
WILL DECREASE CONSIDERBLY OVERNIGHT.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 39 69 41 74 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN AR 40 73 41 79 / 0 0 0 0
HARRISON AR 39 68 41 72 / 0 0 0 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 41 71 43 77 / 0 0 0 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 43 71 44 76 / 0 0 0 0
MONTICELLO AR 43 73 45 78 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNT IDA AR 40 71 41 77 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 40 67 40 72 / 0 0 0 0
NEWPORT AR 39 71 41 75 / 0 0 0 0
PINE BLUFF AR 39 72 41 78 / 0 0 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 42 70 43 75 / 0 0 0 0
SEARCY AR 39 70 41 75 / 0 0 0 0
STUTTGART AR 41 72 43 78 / 0 0 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FROST ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 8 AM CDT SUNDAY FOR ARZ006-007-015.
DISCUSSION...99
AVIATION...73
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