129
FXUS64 KLZK 180519
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1219 AM CDT SUN OCT 18 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 100 AM CDT SAT OCT 17 2026
-MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS WEEKEND,
INCLUDING POSSIBLE PATCHY FROST CONDITIONS IN THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF PORTIONS OF NORTHERN ARKANSAS SUNDAY MORNING.
-WARMING TREND BACK TO ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS ARE POSSIBLE BY THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
-NO SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT WEEK OR SO WITH
DROUGHT CONDITIONS CONTINUING TO WORSEN.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 100 AM CDT SAT OCT 17 2026
SATELLITE EARLY THIS MORNING SHOWS SOME LOW CLOUDS STREAMING INTO
PARTS OF FAR NORTHERN ARKANSAS. THESE CLOUDS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH
SOME LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE UPPER TROUGH NOW
EAST OF THE STATE IN THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY THAT DRAGGED A COLD
FRONT THROUGH THE STATE ON FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE STATE
EARLY THIS MORNING ARE IN THE 50S WITH CLEAR SKIES ELSEWHERE IN
ARKANSAS. LOWS LATER THIS MORNING WILL BOTTOM OUT GENERALLY IN THE
40S ACROSS THE STATE WITH A FEW LOCATIONS POSSIBLY SEEING UPPER
30S ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN AREAS OF NORTHERN AND WESTERN
ARKANSAS. A FEW AREAS OF PATCHY FROST ARE NOT ENTIRELY OUT OF THE
QUESTION THIS MORNING AND SUNDAY MORNING AS WELL. TEMPERATURES
TODAY AND SUNDAY WILL BE ROUGHLY AROUND 5 TO 7 DEGREES FOR
AFTERNOON HIGHS FOR MID OCTOBER.
AS WE HEAD INTO THE DAY, HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD NORTH AND EASTWARD
INTO THE STATE BEHIND THE UPPER TROUGH WILL HAVE MOVED INTO THE
EASTERN US. ANOTHER DAY OF SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES IS
EXPECTED WITH NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS ACROSS THE STATE, BUT NOT
NEARLY AS BREEZY AS FRIDAY WITH WINDS GENERALLY 10 TO 15 MPH SEEN
ACROSS THE STATE WITH A FEW GUSTS AROUND 20 MPH POSSIBLE.
BY SUNDAY, THE RIDGE AXIS WILL EAST MOVE OVER THE STATE DURING THE
DAY, BEFORE MOVING INTO THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY SUNDAY EVENING INTO
MONDAY MORNING. THIS WILL ALLOW WINDS TO VEER FROM THE NORTH/NORTHEAST
TO SOUTH/SOUTHEAST BRINGING WARMER AIR NORTH INTO THE STATE.
TEMPERATURES BY MONDAY WILL TO ABOVE NORMAL DURING THE EARLY PART
OF NEXT WEEK, THEN WELL ABOVE NORMAL BY THE LATTER PART OF THE
WEEK. A FEW LOCATIONS DURING THE LATTER PART OF NEXT WEEK MAY
APPROACH RECORD TERRITORY FOR AFTERNOON HIGHS. DRY CONDITIONS WILL
UNFORTUNATELY PREVAIL AS LITTLE TO NO RAINFALL IS EXPECTED THROUGH
THE LATTER PART OF NEXT WEEK AND POSSIBLY LONGER.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1212 AM CDT SUN OCT 18 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. LIGHT
NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE DAY. SOME MID
AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS IS POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY ACROSS CENTRAL
AND SOUTHERN TERMINALS DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS OF SUNDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 70 43 73 43 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN AR 75 43 79 42 / 0 0 0 0
HARRISON AR 68 42 72 45 / 0 0 0 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 73 45 77 46 / 0 0 0 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 72 45 76 46 / 0 0 0 0
MONTICELLO AR 74 47 77 46 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNT IDA AR 73 43 76 44 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 67 42 72 44 / 0 0 0 0
NEWPORT AR 71 42 74 43 / 0 0 0 0
PINE BLUFF AR 74 43 78 42 / 0 0 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 71 44 75 46 / 0 0 0 0
SEARCY AR 71 42 75 43 / 0 0 0 0
STUTTGART AR 74 45 77 44 / 0 0 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FROST ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 8 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR ARZ006-007-
015.
DISCUSSION...76
AVIATION...76
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