266
FXUS64 KLZK 190532
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1232 AM CDT MON OCT 19 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1250 AM CDT SUN OCT 18 2026
-WARMING TREND BACK TO ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS ARE POSSIBLE BY THE END
OF THE WORK WEEK AND POSSIBLY LONGER.
-NO SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT WEEK OR SO WITH
DROUGHT CONDITIONS CONTINUING TO WORSEN.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1250 AM CDT SUN OCT 18 2026
SATELLITE EARLY THIS MORNING SHOWS CLEAR SKIES OVER THE NATURAL
STATE WITH LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. TEMPERATURES EARLY THIS MORNING
ARE IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S ACROSS THE STATE. LOWS THIS
MORNING WILL BOTTOM OUT IN THE UPPER 30S ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHERN
ARKANSAS WITH LOWER TO MID 30S NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION ACROSS
HIGHER ELEVATIONS. A FROST ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR FULTON,
IZARD, AND SHARP COUNTIES FROM 4 AM THROUGH 8 AM . FOR THE SOUTHERN
TWO THIRDS OF ARKANSAS, TEMPERATURES WILL BOTTOM OUT IN THE LOWER
40S AROUND SUNRISE EARLY THIS MORNING.
AS WE HEAD INTO NEXT WEEK, BOTH ENSEMBLE AND DETERMINISTIC MODEL
DATA SHOWS HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN CONTROL OF THE WEATHER ACROSS
THE STATE. WINDS WILL VEER FROM THE NORTH/NORTHEAST TO EAST/
SOUTHEAST BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. LIGHT WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH
THE ENTIRE WORK WEEK AND POSSIBLY LONGER. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR
WARMER AIR TO BE PULLED NORTH BACK INTO THE STATE. TEMPERATURES
EARLY PART THE WORK WEEK WILL BE AS MUCH AS 3 TO 5 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL, THEN 10 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR AFTERNOON HIGHS
FOR THE LATTER PART OF THE WORK WEEK INTO EARLY NEXT WEEKEND.
LITTLE TO NO RAINFALL IS IN THE FORECAST WITHIN ARKANSAS OVER THE
NEXT 5 TO 7 DAYS AND POSSIBLY LONGER. THIS WILL LEAD TO WORSENING
DROUGHT CONDITIONS ACROSS THE STATE.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1231 AM CDT MON OCT 19 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. LIGHT EAST TO
SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH HIGH LEVEL
CLOUDINESS EXPECTED AT TIMES ACROSS TAF SITES.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 75 46 77 47 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN AR 80 45 80 46 / 0 0 0 0
HARRISON AR 75 47 75 48 / 0 0 0 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 80 48 80 49 / 0 0 0 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 78 47 79 50 / 0 0 0 0
MONTICELLO AR 77 47 80 50 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNT IDA AR 79 45 79 46 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 74 46 74 47 / 0 0 0 0
NEWPORT AR 77 46 78 48 / 0 0 0 0
PINE BLUFF AR 79 45 80 47 / 0 0 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 77 47 78 48 / 0 0 0 0
SEARCY AR 77 46 78 48 / 0 0 0 0
STUTTGART AR 79 46 81 49 / 0 0 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...76
AVIATION...76
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