025
FXUS64 KMAF 181120
AFDMAF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
520 AM CST MON NOV 18 2024
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 517 AM CST MON NOV 18 2024
- A HIGH WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR
THE GUADALUPE, DELAWARE, CHINATI, AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS. WIND
ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS
EVENING FOR MUCH OF THE REMAINING AREA.
- A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA TUESDAY MORNING BRINGING
MUCH COLDER AIR FOR THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 226 AM CST MON NOV 18 2024
A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES TO MOVE TO THE EAST AND WILL EXIT
THE AREA WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO. MANY AREAS FROM SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO TO MUCH OF THE PERMIAN BASIN RECEIVED AMOUNTS FROM A HALF
INCH TO 3+ INCHES OF RAIN THIS EVENING. SHOWERS WILL TAPER OFF OVER
THE NEXT FEW HOURS AS DRIER AIR BEGINS TO PUSH IN FROM THE WEST.
WINDS HAVE ALREADY BEGUN TO RAMP UP OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF THE CWA
AND WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE INTO THE DAY TODAY. A HIGH WIND
WARNING REMAINS FOR THE GUADALUPE, DAVIS, AND CHINATI MOUNTAINS. FOR
THE ADJACENT PLAINS AND LOWER ELEVATION AREAS, A WIND ADVISORY WILL
BE IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. AREAS OF
BLOWING OR LOFTED DUST WILL STILL BE SEEN DESPITE THE RAIN MANY
LOCATIONS RECEIVED, ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF THE
CWA.
DRIER AND COOLER AIR, ALONG WITH LIGHTER WINDS, BRING LOWS INTO
THE 40S FOR MOST. A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING AND
WILL LIMIT HIGHS FOR MANY TO THE 60S WITH UPPER 50S FOR PARTS OF
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.
-STICKNEY
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 226 AM CST MON NOV 18 2024
THE PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONT ON TUESDAY USHERS IN MUCH COLDER AIR.
MUCH OF THE REGION FALLS INTO THE 30S WITH THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS
DIPPING INTO THE UPPER 20S. AFTER A DAY OF BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES
ON WEDNESDAY, A GRADUAL WARM UP OCCURS THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK
AND INTO NEXT WEEKEND WITH HIGHS REACHING INTO THE 70S BY SATURDAY.
PRECIPITATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE EXTENDED.
-STICKNEY
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 517 AM CST MON NOV 18 2024
MVFR CONDITIONS HAVE MOVED EAST OF THE AREA AND VFR CONDITIONS
SHOULD REMAIN THIS TAF PERIOD. VERY WINDY CONDITIONS WILL BE THE
MAIN CONCERN TODAY WITH WEST WINDS GUSTING 30-40KTS CREATING LOW
LEVEL TURBULENCE WITH SOME MOUNTAIN WAVE IN THE LEE OF THE
GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS. RAIN LAST NIGHT SHOULD REDUCE THE
THREAT FOR BLDU BUT WESTERN AREAS DID NOT RECEIVE MUCH RAINFALL
AND COULD BE A SOURCE FOR HAZY SKIES THIS AFTERNOON.
HENNIG
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BIG SPRING 68 42 68 34 / 0 0 0 0
CARLSBAD 63 39 63 32 / 50 0 0 0
DRYDEN 74 47 78 43 / 0 0 0 0
FORT STOCKTON 69 44 69 37 / 0 0 0 0
GUADALUPE PASS 53 38 55 35 / 30 0 0 0
HOBBS 63 39 62 31 / 40 0 0 0
MARFA 59 37 64 33 / 0 0 0 0
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT 66 42 67 34 / 0 0 0 0
ODESSA 66 43 67 34 / 0 0 0 0
WINK 66 39 68 33 / 10 0 0 0
MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST /11 PM MST/ TONIGHT FOR
CHINATI MOUNTAINS-DAVIS MOUNTAINS-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS ABOVE
7000 FEET-GUADALUPE AND DELAWARE MOUNTAINS.
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR ANDREWS-BORDEN-
CENTRAL BREWSTER COUNTY-CHISOS BASIN-CRANE-DAVIS MOUNTAINS
FOOTHILLS-DAWSON-EASTERN CULBERSON COUNTY-ECTOR-GAINES-
GLASSCOCK-HOWARD-LOVING-MARFA PLATEAU-MARTIN-MIDLAND-
MITCHELL-PECOS-REAGAN-REEVES COUNTY PLAINS-SCURRY-UPTON-VAN
HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-WARD-WINKLER.
NM...HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 11 PM MST THIS EVENING FOR GUADALUPE
MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY.
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM MST THIS EVENING FOR CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-
EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY.
SHORT TERM...93
LONG TERM....93
AVIATION...10
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