434
FXUS64 KMAF 191713
AFDMAF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1113 AM CST TUE NOV 19 2024
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1112 AM CST TUE NOV 19 2024
- THERE IS GOOD (60-80 PERCENT) CONFIDENCE THAT TEMPERATURES
WILL FALL TO AT OR BELOW FREEZING ACROSS AREAS ALONG AND NORTH
OF I-20 WEDNESDAY MORNING.
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES RETURN FOR THE WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 232 AM CST TUE NOV 19 2024
A COLD FRONT WILL MAKE ITS WAY THROUGH THE AREA LATER THIS MORNING
AND SHIFT WINDS OUT OF THE NORTH TO NORTHWEST. SOME GUSTINESS WILL
BE SEEN FOR PART OF THE DAY, BUT NOT LIKE WIND SEEN ON MONDAY.
FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL BE DRY WITH NO PRECIPITATION EXPECTED. COLDER
AIR WILL BE SLOW TO MOVE IN BEHIND THE FRONT, SO HIGHS TODAY STILL
REACH INTO THE 60S TO NEAR 70F FOR MOST. WEDNESDAY MORNING LOWS END
UP BEING THE COLDEST OF THE FORECAST WITH MOST IN THE LOW TO MID
30S AND 40S DOWN ALONG THE RIO GRANDE. WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON SEES
THE PERMIAN BASIN AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO ONLY REACH INTO THE 50S
TO NEAR 60F WITH LOW 60S SOUTH OF THE I-10/I-20 CORRIDORS.
-STICKNEY
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 232 AM CST TUE NOV 19 2024
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE MOVES EAST OF THE AREA ALLOWING FOR WARMING
TO OCCUR ON THURSDAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT THURSDAY EVENING PAUSES
THE WARMING FOR FRIDAY BEFORE SOUTHERLY AND SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW
RETURNS OVER THE WEEKEND SENDING TEMPERATURES BACK UP ABOVE
NORMAL WITH HIGHS REACHING THE 70S AND LOW 80S ONCE AGAIN. ANOTHER
COLD FRONT ARRIVES EARLY NEXT WEEK BRINGING TEMPERATURES BACK DOWN
TO NEAR NORMAL. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED IN THE EXTENDED.
HENNIG
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1112 AM CST TUE NOV 19 2024
VFR VIS AND CIGS FORECAST THROUGHOUT TAF PERIOD. GUSTY WEST TO
NORTHWEST WINDS DECREASE BY 00Z WEDNESDAY, VEERING TO SOUTHERLY BY
END OF PERIOD.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BIG SPRING 35 60 37 68 / 0 0 0 0
CARLSBAD 32 58 34 68 / 0 0 0 0
DRYDEN 43 65 40 74 / 0 0 0 0
FORT STOCKTON 37 64 40 71 / 0 0 0 0
GUADALUPE PASS 37 56 40 62 / 0 0 0 0
HOBBS 30 57 36 68 / 0 0 0 0
MARFA 32 63 36 71 / 0 0 0 0
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT 34 60 38 69 / 0 0 0 0
ODESSA 34 59 39 69 / 0 0 0 0
WINK 33 61 35 71 / 0 0 0 0
MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
NM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...93
LONG TERM....10
AVIATION...94
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