000
FXUS64 KMAF 201710
AFDMAF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1110 AM CST WED NOV 20 2024
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1109 AM CST WED NOV 20 2024
- A FREEZE WARNING IS IN EFFECT EARLY THIS MORNING FOR LEA
COUNTY, NM AND THE NORTHWESTERN PERMIAN BASIN.
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES RETURN FOR THE WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 249 AM CST WED NOV 20 2024
A CHILLY START TO THE DAY AS MOST AREAS WILL BE SETTLING INTO THE
30S. A FREEZE WARNING IS IN PLACE FOR THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
PORTIONS OF LEA COUNTY AS WELL AS THE NORTHWESTERN PERMIAN BASIN.
LOWS IN THAT AREA WILL MAKE IT TO AROUND 30-32F THIS MORNING AND
SIGNIFY THE FIRST FREEZE OF THE SEASON. HIGHS WILL REACH INTO THE
MID TO UPPER 50S FOR THE SAME LOCATIONS INCLUDED IN THE FREEZE
WARNING WITH 60S AND ABOVE FOR AREAS SOUTH OF I-20. THE REST OF THE
SHORT TERM FORECAST IS COOL AND QUIET. MORNING LOWS ON THURSDAY MOVE
UP A FEW DEGREES FROM THIS MORNING. HIGHS FOLLOW SUIT AS WINDS SHIFT
SOUTHERLY AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN. PRECIPITATION IS NOT EXPECTED.
-STICKNEY
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 249 AM CST WED NOV 20 2024
A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA THURSDAY EVENING HOLDING
TEMPERATURES STEADY AND NEAR NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.
AFTERWARD, MODELS SHOW A ZONAL (WESTERLY) UPPER FLOW PATTERN THAT
SENDS TEMPERATURES BACK ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD. THIS WEEKEND WILL BE 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL
AND DRY WHICH SHOULD BE FAVORABLE FOR OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES. ANOTHER
WEAK COLD FRONT IS POSSIBLE NEXT TUESDAY THAT COULD BRING
TEMPS BACK DOWN CLOSER TO NORMAL.
HENNIG
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1109 AM CST WED NOV 20 2024
VFR VIS AND CIGS FORECAST THROUGHOUT TAF PERIOD. EASTERLY TO
SOUTHERLY WINDS AT MOST TERMINALS SHIFT TO WEST-NORTHWEST BY
09Z-15Z THURSDAY BUT REMAIN LIGHT, WITH THAT MAINTAINED INTO END
OF PERIOD. EASTERLY WINDS OVER STOCKTON PLATEAU SHIFT TO SOUTHERLY
BY 10Z AND THEN WEST-NORTHWESTERLY BY 15Z, REMAINING OUT OF THAT
DIRECTION AND LIGHT INTO END OF PERIOD.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BIG SPRING 59 36 68 36 / 0 0 0 0
CARLSBAD 57 33 67 35 / 0 0 0 0
DRYDEN 64 41 73 43 / 0 0 0 0
FORT STOCKTON 62 39 71 41 / 0 0 0 0
GUADALUPE PASS 54 41 63 41 / 0 0 0 0
HOBBS 56 35 69 35 / 0 0 0 0
MARFA 63 36 70 38 / 0 0 0 0
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT 59 38 69 37 / 0 0 0 0
ODESSA 59 39 68 38 / 0 0 0 0
WINK 59 36 69 36 / 0 0 0 0
MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
NM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...93
LONG TERM....10
AVIATION...94
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