586
FXUS64 KMAF 151730
AFDMAF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1130 AM CST SUN DEC 15 2024
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1129 AM CST SUN DEC 15 2024
- WARMER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TODAY THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK
- A COLD FRONT BRINGS COOLER, BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES ON
WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES RETURN TO NEAR NORMAL ON THURSDAY.
- A WARMING TREND BRINGS ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES BACK TO THE
REGION BY THE END OF THE WEEK INTO NEXT WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 129 AM CST SUN DEC 15 2024
ANOTHER MILD MORNING IS EXPECTED AS MOIST, SOUTHERLY RETURN FLOW
LIMITS OVERNIGHT COOLING. MANY LOCATIONS REMAIN IN THE 40S WITH ONLY
A FEW LOCATIONS FALLING BACK INTO THE 30S. WITH THIS INCREASED
MOISTURE, THE SOUTHEASTERN PERMIAN BASIN MAY SEE PATCHY FOG AND LOW
CLOUDS AROUND SUNRISE THIS MORNING BEFORE IT QUICKLY BURNS OFF THIS
AFTERNOON. ANOTHER WEAK WEATHER SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH THE CENTRAL
GREAT PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WEATHER SYSTEM AIDS IN CREATING A
ANOTHER WARM AFTERNOON AS SOUTHERLY AND SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS AND
MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES PUSH MUCH OF THE REGION 10 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL INTO THE 70S. SOUTHERLY WINDS CONTINUE INTO MONDAY MORNING
RESULTING IN ANOTHER MILD MORNING WITH MANY LOCATIONS STARTING IN
THE UPPER 30S AND 40S. FAR EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA CAN EXPECT
TO SEE TEMPERATURES REMAIN IN THE 50S THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS. AS
THE PREVIOUSLY MENTION WEATHER SYSTEM CONTINUES OFF TO THE EAST, A
WEAK COLD FRONT SAGS SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION DURING MONDAY
AFTERNOON. WHILE COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE GOING TO MOVE INTO THE
REGION, EVERYONE REMAINS ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
WIDESPREAD TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S AND EVEN 70S REMAIN ACROSS THE
REGION TO START THE NEW WORK WEEK.
-CHEHAK
LONG TERM
(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 129 AM CST SUN DEC 15 2024
THE LONG TERM PERIOD BEGINS WITH YET ANOTHER WEAK WEATHER SYSTEM
MOVING INTO THE CENTRAL GREAT PLAINS. THIS WEATHER SYSTEM QUICKLY
CAUSES THE RETURN OF SOUTHERLY WINDS AFTER MONDAY'S COLD FRONT. THIS
RESULTS IN A MILD MORNING WITH MOST REMAINING IN THE MIDDLE 30S TO
40S TO START THE DAY ON TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES DURING TUESDAY
AFTERNOON WARM UP SLIGHTLY COMPARED TO MONDAY INTO THE UPPER 60S TO
LOWER 70S. ONE MORE MILD MORNING WITH WIDESPREAD 40S IS ANTICIPATED
ON WEDNESDAY MORNING. AS THE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED WEAK WEATHER
SYSTEM CONTINUES OFF TO THE EAST, ANOTHER COLD FRONT SAGS SOUTH
THROUGH THE REGION DURING THE AFTERNOON ON WEDNESDAY. THIS FRONT
PUSHES TEMPERATURES BACK BELOW NORMAL BY A FEW DEGREES INTO THE
UPPER 50S AND LOWER 60S. BELOW FREEZING TEMPERATURES MAY BRIEFLY
MAKE A RETURN THURSDAY MORNING BEFORE A GRADUAL WARMING TREND
CONTINUES THROUGH THE END OF THE WORK WEEK INTO NEXT WEEKEND. EXPECT
BOTH HIGH AND LOW TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB A COUPLE DEGREES EACH DAY
THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD. OUTSIDE OF THESE TEMPERATURES, PLENTY
OF SUNSHINE AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED.
-CHEHAK
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1129 AM CST SUN DEC 15 2024
MORNING FOG AND LOW CLOUDS HAVE BURNED OFF AND VFR CONDITIONS ARE
NOW EXPECTED THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE TAF PERIOD. A WEAK COLD
FRONT SHIFTING WINDS FROM THE NORTHWEST AFTER 06Z WILL PREVENT A
RETURN OF IFR CONDITIONS MONDAY MORNING.
HENNIG
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BIG SPRING 73 51 65 42 / 0 0 0 0
CARLSBAD 70 38 63 33 / 0 0 0 0
DRYDEN 75 55 75 54 / 0 0 0 10
FORT STOCKTON 77 45 68 44 / 0 0 0 0
GUADALUPE PASS 64 42 61 40 / 0 0 0 0
HOBBS 71 39 62 35 / 0 0 0 0
MARFA 73 40 68 38 / 0 0 0 0
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT 73 49 66 42 / 0 0 0 0
ODESSA 72 48 66 42 / 0 0 0 0
WINK 73 41 68 40 / 0 0 0 0
MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
NM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...91
LONG TERM....91
AVIATION...10
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