549
FXUS64 KMAF 160827
AFDMAF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
327 AM CDT MON JUN 16 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 320 AM CDT MON JUN 16 2025
- HOT TEMPERATURES CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.
THE HOTTEST CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST FOR TUESDAY, ACCOMPANIED BY
BREEZY WINDS. MANY LOCATIONS WILL REACH NEAR OR ABOVE 100
DEGREES DURING THIS TIME, WITH A FEW LOCATIONS ALONG THE RIO
GRANDE POTENTIALLY REACHING UP TO 108-113 DEGREES TODAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.
- NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES RETURN BEGINNING THURSDAY AND
CONTINUING THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 320 AM CDT MON JUN 16 2025
THE SHORT TERM FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK. UPPER LEVEL RIDGING IS
CENTERED OVER SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO AND WILL BRING TEMPERATURES UP A
FEW DEGREES OVER YESTERDAY. MOST LOCATIONS WILL REACH INTO THE UPPER
90S TO LOW 100S WITH AREAS ALONG THE RIO GRANDE REACHING NEAR 110F.
THE RIDGE BROADENS OVERNIGHT AND TEMPERATURES WILL BE WELL ABOVE
NORMAL FOR TUESDAY WITH MANY LOCATIONS REACHING ABOVE 100F. EVEN IN
THE MOUNTAINS, TEMPERATURES WILL REACH INTO THE UPPER 90S.
WIDESPREAD HEAT ADVISORIES WILL BE NEEDED FOR MUCH OF THE CWA. WITH
THE RIDGE NEARLY OVERHEAD, RAIN CHANCES WILL BE QUITE LOW IN THE
SHORT TERM WITH SOME SHOWER ACTIVITY POSSIBLE IN THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS
AND AREAS TO THE SOUTH.
-STICKNEY
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 320 AM CDT MON JUN 16 2025
MUCH LIKE THE SHORT TERM, LITTLE CHANGE TO THE FORECAST IN THE
EXTENDED. BY WEDNESDAY, AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BEGINS TO BREAK DOWN
AND TEMPERATURES BEGIN TO TREND DOWNWARD. WEDNESDAY'S HIGHS WILL
STILL BE ABOVE NORMAL, BUT DROP FURTHER TOWARDS NORMAL FOR THE END
OF THIS WEEK. LONG RANGE GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO KEEP LOWER HEIGHTS
OVER THE AREA INDICATING NEAR TO ALMOST BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES
FOR THE REGION. HOWEVER, RAIN CHANCES WILL CONTINUE TO REMAIN
LOW(10-20%) FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
-STICKNEY
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1212 AM CDT MON JUN 16 2025
VFR CONDITIONS HOLD FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. WINDS REMAIN
SOUTHEASTERLY WITH GUSTS RETURNING DURING THE TODAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BIG SPRING 100 75 102 75 / 0 0 0 10
CARLSBAD 103 73 108 72 / 0 0 0 0
DRYDEN 101 74 104 77 / 0 0 0 0
FORT STOCKTON 101 75 105 76 / 0 0 0 10
GUADALUPE PASS 97 73 100 71 / 10 0 0 0
HOBBS 100 73 105 68 / 0 0 0 10
MARFA 95 65 98 66 / 20 0 0 10
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT 101 76 105 75 / 0 0 0 10
ODESSA 100 75 104 75 / 0 0 0 10
WINK 103 75 108 73 / 0 0 0 10
MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
NM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...93
LONG TERM....93
AVIATION...93
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