093
FXUS64 KMAF 111702
AFDMAF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1202 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1200 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2025
- LOW TO MODERATE (20%-40%) PROBABILITY OF SHOWERS/STORMS OVER
WESTERN HIGHER TERRAIN OF W TX INTO SE NM PLAINS BEGINNING THIS
WEEKEND AND CONTINUING INTO NEXT WEEK.
- SLIGHT COOLING TREND IN TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND INTO NEXT
WEEK DUE TO INCREASING CLOUD COVER AND SHOWER/STORM CHANCES.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 157 AM CDT THU SEP 11 2025
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CONTINUES TO SIT OVER THE GREAT PLAINS AND WILL
CONTINUE TO BRING ABOVE NORMAL HEAT FOR BOTH TODAY AND FRIDAY. HIGHS
WILL REACH INTO THE LOW TO MID 90S FOR MOST WITH UPPER 80S IN THE
HIGHER TERRAIN. COMPARED TO TODAY, FRIDAY WILL FEATURE TEMPERATURES
ABOUT A DEGREE OR TWO LOWER, BUT OVERALL CONDITIONS WILL BE THE
SAME. FOR TONIGHT, LOWS DIP INTO THE 60S ONCE AGAIN WITH THE
MOUNTAINS SETTLING INTO THE 50S. RAIN CHANCES WILL REMAIN NEAR ZERO
AREAWIDE FOR THE SHORT TERM.
-STICKNEY
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 157 AM CDT THU SEP 11 2025
HEADING INTO SATURDAY, THE PATTERN BEGINS TO SHIFT AS THE RIDGE THAT
HAS BROUGHT THE WARMTH FOR THIS WEEK WILL BE PUSHED TO THE EAST AS A
DEEP TROUGH MOVES INTO THE WESTERN US. TEMPERATURES TO END THE WEEK
AND INTO THIS WEEKEND WILL GRADUALLY DROP TO NEAR NORMAL WITH MOST
IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOW 90S. RAIN CHANCES MAKE A RETURN AS THE
SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE UPPER TROUGH SKIMS ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND
WESTERN PERIPHERIES OF THE CWA. LOW(20-40%) RAIN CHANCES WILL BE
SEEN THROUGH THE WEEKEND FOR AREAS WEST OF MIDLAND/ODESSA WITH LESS
THAN 20% CHANCES TO THE EAST AS THE TROUGH ROLLS THROUGH THE ROCKIES
AND INTO THE PLAINS. BY MONDAY, THE TROUGH DEPARTS TO THE NORTHEAST
AND RAIN CHANCES FALL BACK TO UNDER 10% AND REMAIN THAT LOW INTO THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. TEMPERATURES LOOK TO SIT AROUND NORMAL NEAR 90F
DURING THE DAY AND 60S OVERNIGHT.
-STICKNEY
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1200 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2025
VFR CONDITIONS AND NO RAIN EXPECTED THROUGHOUT TAF PERIOD.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AT TERMINALS UP TO 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS 20-25 KNOTS
FOR TERMINALS ACROSS STOCKTON PLATEAU AND UPPER TRANS PECOS INTO
SE NM PLAINS FORECAST 19Z-23Z TODAY INTO 04Z-06Z FRIDAY, THEN
CONTINUING GUSTY SOUTHEAST WINDS INTO 07Z-10Z FRIDAY FOR
TERMINALS ACROSS STOCKTON PLATEAU, UPPER TRANS PECOS AND SE NM
PLAINS. SOUTHEAST WINDS AGAIN BECOME GUSTY AT OR ABOVE 15-20 KNOTS
14Z-16Z INTO END OF PERIOD FOR TERMINALS ACROSS STOCKTON PLATEAU
INTO PERMIAN BASIN AND LEA COUNTY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BIG SPRING 66 92 68 91 / 0 0 0 10
CARLSBAD 64 92 67 89 / 0 0 10 50
DRYDEN 68 91 70 91 / 0 0 0 10
FORT STOCKTON 66 91 67 91 / 0 0 0 20
GUADALUPE PASS 62 84 64 81 / 0 0 10 50
HOBBS 61 88 65 86 / 0 0 0 40
MARFA 56 85 59 83 / 0 0 0 40
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT 66 92 69 90 / 0 0 0 10
ODESSA 66 90 69 89 / 0 0 0 10
WINK 65 91 68 89 / 0 0 0 30
MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
NM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...93
LONG TERM....93
AVIATION...94
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page