849
FNUS54 KMAF 161851
FWFMAF
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WEST TEXAS/SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
151 PM CDT TUE SEP 16 2025
DISCUSSION
THE FORECAST REMAINS UNCHANGED. FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS REMAIN MINIMAL
THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. ERCS REMAIN AT OR BELOW THE 50TH PERCENTILE,
MIN RHS STAY ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS, AND WINDS REMAIN GENAERALLY
LIGHT. THESE FACTORS, COUPLED WITH MODERATE TO EXCELLENT RECOVERIES
AND RECENT WETTING RAINS, WILL LIMIT FIRE WEATHER THROUGHOUT THE
PERIOD.
FOR POINT-SPECIFIC FORECASTS PLEASE SEE THE POINT FIRE WEATHER
MATRIX PRODUCT ISSUED BY THE MIDLAND/ODESSA NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE.
NMZ116-170915-
SACRAMENTO FOOTHILLS AND GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
1251 PM MDT TUE SEP 16 2025
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE TSTMS SHOWERS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 40 10 40
TEMP (24H TREND) 56 (-1) 81 (+1) 55 78
RH % (24H TREND) 87 (-4) 37 (-1) 90 42
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 8 SW 5 S 6 W 5
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 6 S 6 SW 5 SE 6
WIND 10000 FT MSL 22 12 14 15
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5520 3480
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SW 10 W 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 55200 34800
VENT CATEGORY FAIR POOR
RFTI 0 0 0 0
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL NIL
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
NMZ117-170915-
CHAVES PLAINS-
1251 PM MDT TUE SEP 16 2025
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 30 20 30
TEMP (24H TREND) 59 (-2) 86 (0) 59 83
RH % (24H TREND) 86 (-4) 34 (0) 85 40
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 9 S 7 S 8 SE 5
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 6 S 10 S 5 S 6
WIND 10000 FT MSL 23 13 25 13
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6580 5490
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) S 16 S 12
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 105280 65880
VENT CATEGORY VERY GOOD GOOD
RFTI 0 0 0 0
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL NIL
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
40 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
NMZ118-170915-
EDDY PLAINS-
1251 PM MDT TUE SEP 16 2025
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE TSTMS NONE TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 20 0 30
TEMP (24H TREND) 63 (-1) 86 (0) 62 84
RH % (24H TREND) 81 (-2) 34 (-1) 81 42
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SE 9 S 6 S 7 SE 5
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 7 SE 8 S 6 SE 5
WIND 10000 FT MSL 18 11 16 13
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6440 4360
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) S 13 S 12
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 83720 52320
VENT CATEGORY GOOD FAIR
RFTI 0 0 0 0
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL NIL
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 90.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
NMZ119-170915-
LEA-
1251 PM MDT TUE SEP 16 2025
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 30
TEMP (24H TREND) 59 (-3) 84 (-1) 60 84
RH % (24H TREND) 87 (+4) 33 (-1) 86 40
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SE 8 S 7 S 7 SE 7
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 5 S 9 S 6 SE 7
WIND 10000 FT MSL 19 17 17 13
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 7100 6180
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) S 14 S 13
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 99400 80340
VENT CATEGORY GOOD GOOD
RFTI 0 0 0 0
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL NIL
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE
15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TXZ270-271-170915-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7000 FEET-
GUADALUPE AND DELAWARE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NATIONAL PARK AND
PINE SPRINGS
151 PM CDT TUE SEP 16 2025 /1251 PM MDT TUE SEP 16 2025/
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE TSTMS NONE TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 20 0 30
TEMP (24H TREND) 57 (-2) 79 (+3) 57 78
RH % (24H TREND) 82 (-7) 38 (-2) 74 40
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) E 8 S 5 E 5 SW 5
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SE 7 S 5 SE 5 S 5
WIND 10000 FT MSL 15 5 8 9
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5350 3840
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) S 7 SW 9
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 37450 34560
VENT CATEGORY POOR POOR
RFTI 0 0 0 0
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL NIL
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
TXZ272-273-275>282-170915-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-EASTERN CULBERSON-
CHINATI MOUNTAINS-MARFA PLATEAU-DAVIS MOUNTAINS-
DAVIS MOUNTAINS FOOTHILLS-CENTRAL BREWSTER-CHISOS BASIN-
PRESIDIO VALLEY-LOWER BREWSTER COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF VAN HORN, MARFA, FORT DAVIS, ALPINE,
BIG BEND NATIONAL PARK, PANTHER JUNCTION, MARATHON, CHISOS BASIN,
PRESIDIO, LAJITAS, AND CASTOLON
151 PM CDT TUE SEP 16 2025
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 10
TEMP (24H TREND) 57 (-5) 88 (+4) 59 89
RH % (24H TREND) 88 (+5) 28 (-7) 83 28
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) E 8 LGT/VAR E 6 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SE 6 SE 5 SE 5 SE 5
WIND 10000 FT MSL 16 6 9 8
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 7470 7240
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SE 9 S 9
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 67230 65160
VENT CATEGORY GOOD GOOD
RFTI 0 0 0 0
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL NIL
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-274-170915-
GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-LOVING-
WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-PECOS-
TERRELL-REEVES COUNTY PLAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF SEMINOLE, LAMESA, GAIL, SNYDER, ANDREWS,
STANTON, BIG SPRING, COLORADO CITY, MENTONE, KERMIT, ODESSA,
MIDLAND, GARDEN CITY, MONAHANS, CRANE, MCCAMEY, RANKIN, BIG LAKE,
FORT STOCKTON, DRYDEN, SANDERSON, AND PECOS
151 PM CDT TUE SEP 16 2025
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 63 (-2) 90 (+2) 63 89
RH % (24H TREND) 82 (+1) 28 (-7) 83 33
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SE 7 S 6 SE 7 S 7
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 5 SE 8 SE 5 SE 8
WIND 10000 FT MSL 20 19 18 17
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 7630 8110
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) S 14 S 18
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 106820 145980
VENT CATEGORY VERY GOOD VERY GOOD
RFTI 0 0 0 0
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL NIL
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY
ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page