290
FXUS64 KMAF 021714
AFDMAF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1214 PM CDT THU OCT 2 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1214 PM CDT THU OCT 2 2025
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 155 AM CDT THU OCT 2 2025
VERY LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS WE REMAIN IN
A STAGNANT FALL PATTERN. MID LEVEL RIDGING OVERHEAD WILL SUPPRESS
CONVECTION AND EVEN MOST CLOUDS FOR THAT MATTER. A DRY AIRMASS
WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB INTO THE 90S FOR MOST LOCATIONS
OUTSIDE OF THE HIGHER TERRAIN. ONE GOOD THING...THE LOWER
DEWPOINTS WILL MAKE FOR VERY NICE MORNINGS WITH LOWS IN THE 60S
FOR MOST, 50S IN THE MOUNTAINS.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 155 AM CDT THU OCT 2 2025
THE WEATHER THIS WEEKEND LOOKS SIMILAR EVEN WITH LARGE SHIFTS IN THE
PATTERN AROUND US. A LARGE UPPER TROUGH WILL LIFT INTO THE PLAINS
HELPING TO SQUASH THE RIDGE OVER OUR REGION (ALTHOUGH IT REMAINS IN
SOME FORM). WHILE TEMPERATURES DON'T BUDGE MUCH AND STAY WELL ABOVE
NORMAL, THE BIGGEST CHANGE WILL BE INCREASING SOUTHERLY WINDS. THE
RIDGE REPOSITIONS ITSELF OVER TX EARLY NEXT WEEK HELPING TO RELAX
THE WINDS, BUT KEEPING DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS IN PLACE.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1214 PM CDT THU OCT 2 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WITH NO RAIN FORECAST FOR ALL TERMINALS.
SOUTH/SOUTHEAST WINDS AT TERMINALS BY 19Z-23Z, INCREASING IN SPEED
AND BECOMING BREEZY NEAR OR ABOVE 12 KNOTS DURING THIS SAME
PERIOD. WINDS THEN DECREASE 01Z-06Z AND REMAIN LIGHT BEFORE AGAIN
INCREASING 15Z INTO END OF PERIOD.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BIG SPRING 63 91 64 89 / 0 0 0 0
CARLSBAD 62 89 60 89 / 0 0 0 0
DRYDEN 64 91 64 89 / 0 0 0 0
FORT STOCKTON 62 91 64 90 / 0 0 0 0
GUADALUPE PASS 60 80 59 81 / 0 0 0 0
HOBBS 60 88 59 87 / 0 0 0 0
MARFA 52 82 52 82 / 0 0 0 0
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT 64 91 64 88 / 0 0 0 0
ODESSA 64 90 64 87 / 0 0 0 0
WINK 60 90 61 90 / 0 0 0 0
MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
NM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...29
LONG TERM....29
AVIATION...94
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