920
FXUS64 KMAF 051052
AFDMAF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
552 AM CDT SUN OCT 5 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 552 AM CDT SUN OCT 5 2025
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS CONTINUE
ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
- SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES AND LOW (10-20%) RAIN CHANCES
BRIEFLY RETURN BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 127 AM CDT SUN OCT 5 2025
A GENERALLY QUIET PATTERN WILL CONTINUE TO BEGIN THE NEW WEEK AS
SUMMER JUST WON'T RELEASE ITS GRIP. SIMILAR TO SATURDAY, WINDS WILL
REMAIN GUSTY (25-30 MPH) IN RESPONSE A SHORTWAVE LIFTING INTO THE
PLAINS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE FIRMLY IN CONTROL, RESULTING IN CLEAR
TO MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB INTO THE
UPPER 80S TO LOW 90S OUTSIDE OF THE HIGHER TERRAIN. OVERNIGHT LOWS
WILL FALL MAINLY INTO THE 60S, WITH SOME 50S IN THE TYPICAL COOL
SPOTS OF THE HIGHER TERRAIN AND NORTHERN LEA COUNTY. EXPECT A REPEAT
ON MONDAY WITH DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUING.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 127 AM CDT SUN OCT 5 2025
HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO SHIFT EAST MIDWEEK ALLOWING A WEAK COLD
FRONT TO APPROACH NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA LATE TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY. THIS BOUNDARY IS NOT EXPECTED TO BRING SIGNIFICANT
CHANGES, BUT A FEW SHOWERS (10-20%) ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY ACROSS SE NM
AND THE NORTHERN PERMIAN BASIN TUESDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES CHANGE
LITTLE WITH THE AIRMASS BEHIND THE FRONT STILL FAIRLY WARM. HIGHS
WILL REMAIN MOSTLY IN THE 80S WEDNESDAY WHICH IS STILL SEVERAL
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR EARLY OCTOBER.
RIDGING BUILDS BACK OVER THE REGION LATE THIS WEEK SENDING
TEMPERATURES BACK INTO THE 90S WITH NO PRECIPITATION EXPECTED.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 552 AM CDT SUN OCT 5 2025
VFR WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH GUSTY SOUTH WINDS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BIG SPRING 90 63 90 64 / 0 0 0 0
CARLSBAD 92 63 90 63 / 0 0 0 0
DRYDEN 90 64 90 65 / 0 0 0 0
FORT STOCKTON 92 65 90 64 / 0 0 0 0
GUADALUPE PASS 81 62 81 60 / 0 0 0 0
HOBBS 88 61 87 60 / 0 10 0 0
MARFA 83 54 84 55 / 0 0 0 0
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT 89 64 89 65 / 0 0 0 0
ODESSA 89 64 88 65 / 0 0 0 0
WINK 92 63 90 64 / 0 0 0 0
MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
NM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...29
LONG TERM....29
AVIATION...29
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