391  
FXUS64 KMAF 051708  
AFDMAF  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX  
1208 PM CDT SUN OCT 5 2025  
   
..NEW AVIATION
 
 
   
KEY MESSAGES
 
 
UPDATED AT 1201 PM CDT SUN OCT 5 2025  
 
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS CONTINUE  
ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.  
 
- SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES AND LOW (10-20%) RAIN CHANCES  
BRIEFLY RETURN BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.  
 

 
   
SHORT TERM
 
 
(TODAY THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON)  
ISSUED AT 127 AM CDT SUN OCT 5 2025  
 
A GENERALLY QUIET PATTERN WILL CONTINUE TO BEGIN THE NEW WEEK AS  
SUMMER JUST WON'T RELEASE ITS GRIP. SIMILAR TO SATURDAY, WINDS WILL  
REMAIN GUSTY (25-30 MPH) IN RESPONSE A SHORTWAVE LIFTING INTO THE  
PLAINS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE FIRMLY IN CONTROL, RESULTING IN CLEAR  
TO MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB INTO THE  
UPPER 80S TO LOW 90S OUTSIDE OF THE HIGHER TERRAIN. OVERNIGHT LOWS  
WILL FALL MAINLY INTO THE 60S, WITH SOME 50S IN THE TYPICAL COOL  
SPOTS OF THE HIGHER TERRAIN AND NORTHERN LEA COUNTY. EXPECT A REPEAT  
ON MONDAY WITH DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUING.  
 

 
   
LONG TERM
 
 
(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)  
ISSUED AT 127 AM CDT SUN OCT 5 2025  
 
HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO SHIFT EAST MIDWEEK ALLOWING A WEAK COLD  
FRONT TO APPROACH NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA LATE TUESDAY INTO  
WEDNESDAY. THIS BOUNDARY IS NOT EXPECTED TO BRING SIGNIFICANT  
CHANGES, BUT A FEW SHOWERS (10-20%) ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY ACROSS SE NM  
AND THE NORTHERN PERMIAN BASIN TUESDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES CHANGE  
LITTLE WITH THE AIRMASS BEHIND THE FRONT STILL FAIRLY WARM. HIGHS  
WILL REMAIN MOSTLY IN THE 80S WEDNESDAY WHICH IS STILL SEVERAL  
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR EARLY OCTOBER.  
 
RIDGING BUILDS BACK OVER THE REGION LATE THIS WEEK SENDING  
TEMPERATURES BACK INTO THE 90S WITH NO PRECIPITATION EXPECTED.  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
 
(18Z TAFS)  
ISSUED AT 1201 PM CDT SUN OCT 5 2025  
 
VFR CONDITIONS CONTINUE FOR THE TAF PERIOD. WINDS STAYING  
SOUTHEASTERLY AND SUSTAINED AROUND 10-15KTS WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
TO 20-25KTS.  
 

 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
 
 
BIG SPRING 63 90 64 87 / 0 0 0 10  
CARLSBAD 63 90 63 86 / 0 0 0 10  
DRYDEN 64 90 65 89 / 0 0 0 10  
FORT STOCKTON 65 90 64 89 / 0 0 0 10  
GUADALUPE PASS 62 81 60 77 / 0 0 0 10  
HOBBS 61 87 60 84 / 10 0 0 10  
MARFA 54 84 55 82 / 0 0 0 0  
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT 64 89 65 88 / 0 0 0 10  
ODESSA 64 88 65 87 / 0 0 0 10  
WINK 63 90 64 87 / 0 0 0 0  
 

 
   
MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
TX...NONE.  
NM...NONE.  

 
 

 
 
SHORT TERM...29  
LONG TERM....29  
AVIATION...93  
 
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