065
FXUS64 KMAF 151709
AFDMAF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1209 PM CDT WED OCT 15 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1208 PM CDT WED OCT 15 2025
- THERE IS A LOW (10%) CHANCE OF ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WEST OF THE PECOS RIVER THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING.
- TEMPERATURES REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL INTO NEXT WEEK. A PACIFIC COLD
FRONT FRIDAY WILL COOL TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY THIS WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 255 AM CDT WED OCT 15 2025
AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE IS CURRENTLY HOVERING OVER THE SOUTHERN US. OUR
REGION LIES UNDER THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE AS AN UPPER
TROUGH DIGS INTO CALIFORNIA. TODAY, THE RIDGE REMAINS LARGELY IN
CONTROL OF OUR WEATHER PATTERN, BRINGING US WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS.
HIGHS THIS AFTERNOON ARE FORECAST TO TOP OUT IN THE 80S, WITH 90S
ALONG THE RIO GRANDE. WINDS WILL BE A TOUCH BREEZY OUT OF THE
SOUTHEAST. OVERNIGHT, TEMPERATURES DIP INTO THE MID 50S TO LOW 60S.
THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH SWINGS FROM THE ROCKIES INTO THE NORTHERN
GREAT PLAINS THURSDAY, LEADING TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF A LEE TROUGH.
LIFT AHEAD OF THE ASSOCIATED FRONT BRINGS LOW (10-20%) RAIN CHANCES
TO SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO DOWN TOWARD THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS THURSDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY EVENING. DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED FOR THE REST OF THE REGION. HIGHS THURSDAY WARM INTO THE
80S FOR MOST, THOUGH PORTIONS OF THE TRANS PECOS AND AREAS ALONG THE
RIO GRANDE SEE TEMPERATURES IN THE 90S.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 255 AM CDT WED OCT 15 2025
LATE THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY A LARGE UPPER LEVEL CHURNS OVER THE
ROCKIES AND INTO THE GREAT PLAINS. A PACIFIC FRONT IS PUSHED ACROSS
WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO DURING THAT TIME AND DRIER AIR
IS GRADUALLY USHERED ACROSS. HIGHS ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY REMAIN
ABOVE NORMAL FOR MOST WITH MID TO UPPER 80S EXPECTED. ANOTHER FRONT
WILL PASS THROUGH THE AREA LATE FRIDAY AND INTO SATURDAY. WHILE
HIGHS WILL NOT BE SIGNIFICANTLY AFFECTED, LOWS ON SUNDAY MORNING
WILL BE SOME OF THE COOLEST THE REGION HAS SEEN SINCE THIS PAST
SPRING. LOWS SETTLE INTO THE 50S FOR MOST WITH UPPER 40S ACROSS
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND THE MOUNTAINS. THE COOLER TEMPERATURES DO
NOT HANG AROUND LONG AND TEMPERATURES MOVE BACK ABOVE NORMAL
AREAWIDE BY EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE EXTENDED FORECAST REMAINS DRY WITH
RAIN CHANCES REMAINING BELOW 5%.
-STICKNEY
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1208 PM CDT WED OCT 15 2025
LOW CIGS HAVE BEGUN TO LIFT AND VFR IS RETURNING TO ALL TERMINALS.
WINDS WILL REMAIN GUSTY OUT OF THE SOUTH THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE AFTERNOON.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BIG SPRING 86 61 87 62 / 0 0 0 10
CARLSBAD 84 61 88 57 / 0 0 10 10
DRYDEN 87 62 89 63 / 0 0 0 0
FORT STOCKTON 87 63 89 63 / 0 0 10 10
GUADALUPE PASS 76 59 78 55 / 0 0 10 10
HOBBS 82 58 84 57 / 0 0 20 10
MARFA 80 53 82 53 / 0 0 10 10
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT 86 61 86 63 / 0 0 0 10
ODESSA 85 61 85 63 / 0 0 10 10
WINK 86 62 88 60 / 0 0 10 10
MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
NM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...95
LONG TERM....93
AVIATION...29
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page