593
FXUS64 KMAF 131838
AFDMAF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1238 PM CST THU NOV 13 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1238 PM CST THU NOV 13 2025
- NEAR RECORD WARMTH AND DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH
THE WEEKEND.
- AN UPPER-LEVEL STORM SYSTEM LATE THIS WEEKEND BRINGS COOLER
TEMPERATURES AND GUSTY WINDS EARLY NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1238 PM CST THU NOV 13 2025
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING CONTINUES TO DOMINATE THE AREA AND TEMPERATURES
WILL BE ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE SHORT TERM FORECAST. LOWS TONIGHT
ONLY SETTLE INTO THE 50S FOR MOST WITH A FEW COOLER SPOTS DIPPING
INTO THE MID TO UPPER 40S. FRIDAY'S RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE AT KMAF
IS 85F AND THE CURRENT FORECAST CALLS FOR 86F. TEMPERATURES AREAWIDE
WILL BE ABOUT 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. OUTSIDE OF THE WELL ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES, MAINLY CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS CONTINUE
INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. RAIN CHANCES CONTINUE TO REMAIN BELOW 5%.
-STICKNEY
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1238 PM CST THU NOV 13 2025
NEAR RECORD WARMTH AND QUIET CONDITIONS PERSIST THIS WEEKEND UNDER
UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING, WHILE A CUT-OFF LOW SWINGS FROM SO-CAL TOWARD
THE NORTHERN GREAT PLAINS. HIGHS SATURDAY AND SUNDAY ARE FORECAST TO
REACH THE 70S IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN, WHICH 80S EVERYWHERE ELSE. THE
DAILY RECORD HIGH FOR SATURDAY IS 84 DEGREES, SET BACK IN 1963 AND
TIED IN 2021. THE DAILY RECORD FOR SUNDAY IS 86 DEGREES SET IN 1963.
WITH HIGHS CURRENTLY FORECAST TO REACH 86 AND 84 SATURDAY AND SUNDAY
RESPECTIVELY, WE MAY EITHER CHALLENGE OR BREAK THE RECORDS FOR BOTH
DAYS. LOWS WILL GENERALLY RANGE WITHIN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
AS THE UPPER-TROUGH TRANSVERSES THE PLAINS SUNDAY INTO MONDAY, IT
SENDS A COLD FRONT INTO OUR REGION, BRINGING BREEZY WINDS AND
DROPPING MONDAYS HIGHS BACK INTO THE 70S FOR MOST. ANOTHER TROUGH
BEGINS TO APPROACH US FROM THE WEST TUESDAY, ALLOWING TEMPERATURES
TO REMAIN GENERALLY IN THE 70S. BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK, THIS
TROUGH'S ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT SWEEPS IN, BRINGING HIGHS DOWN INTO
THE 60S TO LOW 70S THURSDAY. A FEW OF THE COURSER MODELS WANT TO
BRING RAINFALL ALONG WITH THIS SYSTEM, MAINLY OVER OUR EASTERN
COUNTIES. HOWEVER, THE RAIN CHANCES FOR LATER NEXT WEEK ARE
CURRENTLY LOW AND EXPECTED TO CHANGE WITHIN THE COMING DAYS.
OTHERWISE, THE LONG TERM FORECAST LOOKS DRY.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1130 AM CST THU NOV 13 2025
VFR CONDITIONS CONTINUE THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. WINDS REMAIN
AROUND 10KTS OR LESS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BIG SPRING 52 87 56 86 / 0 0 0 0
CARLSBAD 48 86 49 86 / 0 0 0 0
DRYDEN 52 83 53 83 / 0 0 0 0
FORT STOCKTON 54 88 55 89 / 0 0 0 0
GUADALUPE PASS 54 77 55 75 / 0 0 0 0
HOBBS 47 84 49 84 / 0 0 0 0
MARFA 45 81 45 81 / 0 0 0 0
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT 52 86 56 85 / 0 0 0 0
ODESSA 53 85 56 84 / 0 0 0 0
WINK 47 85 51 85 / 0 0 0 0
MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
NM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...93
LONG TERM....95
AVIATION...93
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