549
FXUS64 KMAF 041041
AFDMAF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
441 AM CST THU DEC 4 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 439 AM CST THU DEC 4 2025
- TODAY WILL BE THE COLDEST OF THE NEXT 10 DAYS WITH HIGHS WELL
BELOW NORMAL.
- SNOW FLURRIES POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO THIS
MORNING. LITTLE TO NO ACCUMULATION ALONG WITH NO TRAVEL IMPACTS
EXPECTED.
- TEMPERATURES REBOUND NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL FRIDAY
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. WINDS OVER THE GUADALUPE AND DELAWARE
MOUNTAINS BECOME STRONG FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AFTERNOONS.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1241 AM CST THU DEC 4 2025
THE COLD FRONT HAS CLEARED THE AREA THIS MORNING WITH CHILLY
TEMPERATURES FILTERING IN BEHIND IT. LOCATIONS NORTH OF I-20 ARE
MOSTLY IN THE 30S WITH 50S TO THE SOUTH. A WEAK SHORTWAVE IS
BRINGING PLENTY OF LIGHT SNOW ACROSS THE TX PH AND E NM, BUT DRY MID
LEVEL AIR IS PREVENTING MUCH OF IT FROM REACHING THE GROUND IN OUR
AREA. NORTHERN LEA COUNTY STILL HAS THE BEST CHANCE TO SEE ANYTHING
FALL FROM THE SKY THROUGH SUNRISE BEFORE THE SYSTEM MOVES AWAY.
TEMPERATURES ARE COLD ENOUGH FOR THIS PRECIP TO BE IN THE FORM OF
ALL SNOW. WITH AMOUNTS SO LIGHT, NO IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED. CLOUDY
CONDITIONS WILL HANG ON MOST OF THE DAY BEFORE WE SEE SKIES BEGIN TO
CLEAR FROM WEST TO EAST BY MID AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES STAY CHILLY
WITH HIGHS ONLY IN THE 40S FOR MOST, WITH 50S/60S ALONG THE RIO
GRANDE.
AFTER A CHILLY NIGHT, TEMPERATURES REBOUND FRIDAY WITH WESTERLY FLOW
TAKING OVER. HIGHS WILL CLIMB BACK INTO THE 60S AREAWIDE. THIS FLOW
REGIME COULD ALSO BRING STRONG WINDS TO THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS SO
WILL BE MONITORING FOR POTENTIAL HIGH WIND PRODUCTS. ANOTHER WEAK
SHORTWAVE COULD BRING A SHOWER OR TWO TO THE BIG BEND, OTHERWISE IT
WILL REMAIN DRY.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1241 AM CST THU DEC 4 2025
THE EXTENDED LOOKS VERY QUIET AS WE REMAIN IN A RATHER PROGRESSIVE
PATTERN WITH STORM SYSTEM PASSING WELL TO OUR NORTH. WESTERLY WINDS
REMAIN GUSTY SATURDAY AND MORE HIGH WIND PRODUCTS ARE POSSIBLE FOR
THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS. LOOK FOR TEMPERATURES WELL ABOVE NORMAL TO
START THE WEEKEND WITH HIGHS IN THE 60S/70S. A COLD FRONT IS DUE TO
ARRIVE EARLY SUNDAY HELPING KNOCK TEMPERATURES BACK TO NEAR NORMAL.
A WARMING TREND THEN BEGINS MONDAY AND TAKES US THROUGH THE REST OF
THE WEEK WITH LOWS MOSTLY IN THE 40S AND HIGHS IN THE 60S/70S. NO
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 439 AM CST THU DEC 4 2025
GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS WILL DIMINISH THIS MORNING WITH MVFR CIGS
REMAINING IN PLACE FOR KHOB AND KMAF. ALL TERMINALS WILL RETURN TO
VFR BY EARLY AFTERNOON WITH WINDS BECOMING LIGHT.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BIG SPRING 46 32 64 32 / 0 0 0 0
CARLSBAD 49 30 64 33 / 0 0 0 0
DRYDEN 55 40 62 42 / 0 10 10 0
FORT STOCKTON 49 38 68 42 / 0 10 10 0
GUADALUPE PASS 46 36 54 37 / 0 0 0 0
HOBBS 48 28 62 30 / 0 0 0 0
MARFA 55 32 62 32 / 0 10 10 0
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT 47 35 63 35 / 0 0 0 0
ODESSA 47 35 62 35 / 0 0 0 0
WINK 49 32 65 32 / 0 0 0 0
MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
NM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...29
LONG TERM....29
AVIATION...29
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