272
FXUS64 KMAF 041734
AFDMAF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1134 AM CST THU DEC 4 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1133 AM CST THU DEC 4 2025
- TODAY WILL BE THE COLDEST OF THE NEXT 10 DAYS WITH HIGHS WELL
BELOW NORMAL.
- SNOW FLURRIES POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO THIS
MORNING. LITTLE TO NO ACCUMULATION ALONG WITH NO TRAVEL IMPACTS
EXPECTED.
- TEMPERATURES REBOUND NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL FRIDAY
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. WINDS OVER THE GUADALUPE AND DELAWARE
MOUNTAINS BECOME STRONG FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AFTERNOONS.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1241 AM CST THU DEC 4 2025
THE COLD FRONT HAS CLEARED THE AREA THIS MORNING WITH CHILLY
TEMPERATURES FILTERING IN BEHIND IT. LOCATIONS NORTH OF I-20 ARE
MOSTLY IN THE 30S WITH 50S TO THE SOUTH. A WEAK SHORTWAVE IS
BRINGING PLENTY OF LIGHT SNOW ACROSS THE TX PH AND E NM, BUT DRY MID
LEVEL AIR IS PREVENTING MUCH OF IT FROM REACHING THE GROUND IN OUR
AREA. NORTHERN LEA COUNTY STILL HAS THE BEST CHANCE TO SEE ANYTHING
FALL FROM THE SKY THROUGH SUNRISE BEFORE THE SYSTEM MOVES AWAY.
TEMPERATURES ARE COLD ENOUGH FOR THIS PRECIP TO BE IN THE FORM OF
ALL SNOW. WITH AMOUNTS SO LIGHT, NO IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED. CLOUDY
CONDITIONS WILL HANG ON MOST OF THE DAY BEFORE WE SEE SKIES BEGIN TO
CLEAR FROM WEST TO EAST BY MID AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES STAY CHILLY
WITH HIGHS ONLY IN THE 40S FOR MOST, WITH 50S/60S ALONG THE RIO
GRANDE.
AFTER A CHILLY NIGHT, TEMPERATURES REBOUND FRIDAY WITH WESTERLY FLOW
TAKING OVER. HIGHS WILL CLIMB BACK INTO THE 60S AREAWIDE. THIS FLOW
REGIME COULD ALSO BRING STRONG WINDS TO THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS SO
WILL BE MONITORING FOR POTENTIAL HIGH WIND PRODUCTS. ANOTHER WEAK
SHORTWAVE COULD BRING A SHOWER OR TWO TO THE BIG BEND, OTHERWISE IT
WILL REMAIN DRY.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1241 AM CST THU DEC 4 2025
THE EXTENDED LOOKS VERY QUIET AS WE REMAIN IN A RATHER PROGRESSIVE
PATTERN WITH STORM SYSTEM PASSING WELL TO OUR NORTH. WESTERLY WINDS
REMAIN GUSTY SATURDAY AND MORE HIGH WIND PRODUCTS ARE POSSIBLE FOR
THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS. LOOK FOR TEMPERATURES WELL ABOVE NORMAL TO
START THE WEEKEND WITH HIGHS IN THE 60S/70S. A COLD FRONT IS DUE TO
ARRIVE EARLY SUNDAY HELPING KNOCK TEMPERATURES BACK TO NEAR NORMAL.
A WARMING TREND THEN BEGINS MONDAY AND TAKES US THROUGH THE REST OF
THE WEEK WITH LOWS MOSTLY IN THE 40S AND HIGHS IN THE 60S/70S. NO
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1133 AM CST THU DEC 4 2025
MVFR CIGS CONTINUE AT MOST TERMINALS WITH GRADUAL CLEARING OF
LOWER CLOUDS OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. WINDS BECOME LIGHT AND
VARIABLE FOR THE DAY BEFORE SHIFTING OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST TOMORROW
MORNING.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BIG SPRING 46 33 65 33 / 0 0 0 0
CARLSBAD 49 31 65 32 / 0 0 0 0
DRYDEN 55 41 63 42 / 0 20 10 0
FORT STOCKTON 49 40 69 40 / 0 10 0 0
GUADALUPE PASS 46 36 55 36 / 0 0 0 0
HOBBS 49 28 62 30 / 0 0 0 0
MARFA 57 32 62 32 / 0 10 10 10
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT 47 35 65 35 / 0 0 0 0
ODESSA 47 36 64 35 / 0 0 0 0
WINK 49 33 66 32 / 0 10 0 0
MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...HIGH WIND WATCH FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING FOR
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7000 FEET-GUADALUPE AND DELAWARE
MOUNTAINS.
NM...HIGH WIND WATCH FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING FOR
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY.
SHORT TERM...29
LONG TERM....29
AVIATION...93
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