254
FXUS64 KMAF 121716
AFDMAF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1116 AM CST FRI DEC 12 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1112 AM CST FRI DEC 12 2025
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY BEFORE
A STRONGER COLD FRONT (BRIEFLY) BRINGS MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES
ON SUNDAY.
- DRY CONDITIONS PERSIST THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 136 AM CST FRI DEC 12 2025
CURRENT OBSERVATIONS SHOW A WEAK COLD FRONT IS APPROACHING THE
NORTHERN PERMIAN BASIN. THE SUPPORTING JET STREAM IS WELL NORTH OF
THE AREA OVER THE NORTHERN GREAT PLAINS SO THERE IS LITTLE TO NO
COLD AIR BEHIND THE FRONT. THEREFORE HIGHS TODAY WILL BE SIMILAR
TO THURSDAY REACHING ABOUT 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL AND MOST
LOCATIONS REACHING THE 70S. SATURDAY BRINGS A RETURN OF WEAK
SOUTHERLY FLOW WHICH PUSHES UP HIGHS SLIGHTLY A FEW DEGREES.
HENNIG
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 136 AM CST FRI DEC 12 2025
AN UPPER LOW MOVING ACROSS THE U.S./CANADIAN BORDER SENDS ANOTHER
COLD FRONT INTO THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT. THIS FRONT WILL TAP INTO
COLDER AIR FROM OUT OF CANADA AND WILL DEFINITELY BE NOTICED ON
SUNDAY AS HIGHS REMAIN IN THE 40S TO LOW 50S THROUGHOUT THE DAY.
THE CURRENT FORECAST HAS US BREAKING OUT OF LOW CLOUDS IN THE
AFTERNOON ALLOWING FOR SOME AFTERNOON HEATING. THERE ARE
INDICATIONS THOUGH THAT CLOUDS COULD HOLD ON THROUGH THE AFTERNOON
WHICH WOULD LOWER HIGHS BY 3 TO 5 DEGREES FROM THE CURRENT
FORECAST.
UPPER RIDGING QUICKLY MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL UNITED STATES SO AS
FAST AS THE COLD AIR ARRIVES, IT LEAVES AGAIN AND MONDAY QUICKLY
REBOUNDS BACK UP INTO THE 60S. THE JET STREAM HAS STRUGGLED TO
MOVE SOUTH THIS YEAR AND NEXT WEEK CONTINUES THIS TREND WITH ZONAL
FLOW AND THE JET STREAM NORTH OF US KEEPING THE COLDER AIR AT BAY.
TEMPERATURES THE REMAINDER OF NEXT WEEK WILL BE ABOVE NORMAL WITH
HIGHS REACHING 60S AND 70S EACH DAY. THERE IS NO CHANCE FOR RAIN
IN THIS FORECAST PERIOD.
HENNIG
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1112 AM CST FRI DEC 12 2025
VFR CONDITIONS PERSIST THROUGH THE PERIOD. A COLD FRONT IS KICKING
UP BREEZY/GUSTY NORTHWESTERLY AND NORTHEASTERLY WINDS THAT SHOULD
TAPER DOWN A LITTLE AFTER SUNSET.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BIG SPRING 36 73 31 45 / 0 0 0 0
CARLSBAD 38 76 35 50 / 0 0 0 0
DRYDEN 43 77 44 55 / 0 0 0 10
FORT STOCKTON 40 78 38 49 / 0 0 0 10
GUADALUPE PASS 43 66 35 46 / 0 0 0 0
HOBBS 36 74 30 49 / 0 0 0 0
MARFA 33 72 32 53 / 0 0 0 0
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT 38 72 33 46 / 0 0 0 0
ODESSA 38 72 34 46 / 0 0 0 0
WINK 36 75 35 47 / 0 0 0 0
MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
NM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...10
LONG TERM....10
AVIATION...95
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