020
FXUS64 KMAF 130441
AFDMAF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1041 PM CST FRI DEC 12 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1040 PM CST FRI DEC 12 2025
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY BEFORE
A STRONGER COLD FRONT (BRIEFLY) BRINGS MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES
ON SUNDAY.
- DRY CONDITIONS PERSIST THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1249 PM CST FRI DEC 12 2025
A WEAK COLD FRONT HAS PRETTY MUCH CLEARED OUR REGION. WINDS MAY BE
BREEZY AND HAVE A NORTHERLY COMPONENT, BUT YOU WOULDN'T OTHERWISE
NOTICE THE FRONT GIVEN TEMPERATURES RANGING IN THE 60S AND 70S. LOWS
TONIGHT DIP INTO THE 30S AND 40S. TEMPERATURES REBOUND INTO THE 70S
SATURDAY AS AN UPPER RIDGE'S AXIS MOVES CLOSER FROM OUR WEST AND LEE
TROUGHING TURNS WINDS BACK OUT OF THE WEST/SOUTHWEST. THE WARMTH
COMES TO AN END AS AN UPPER LOW JUST NORTH OF THE GREAT LAKES HELPS
USHER ARCTIC AIR DOWN INTO THE SOUTHERN STATES. A COLD FRONT LOOKS
TO PUSH IN SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. WITH THE
FRONT, NORTHEASTERLY WINDS BECOME BREEZY, WITH STRONGER WINDS
EXPECTED IN THE GAPS OF THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS. WINDS COULD REACH
HIGH WIND CRITERIA FOR A BRIEF MOMENT, BUT CONFIDENCE IN EXACT SPEED
AND DURATION OF WINDS REMAINS TOO LOW TO ISSUE A HIGH WIND WARNING
AT THIS TIME. SUNDAY MORNING, TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO CHILL
INTO THE UPPER 20S ACROSS SOME OF OUR NORTHERN COUNTIES, 30S FOR
MOST EVERYONE ELSE, AND 40S IN OUR SOUTHERNMOST COUNTIES.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1249 PM CST FRI DEC 12 2025
COLD TEMPERATURES KICK OFF THE LONG TERM PERIOD, THANKS TO STRONG
COLD AIR ADVECTION AND BROKEN TO OVERCAST SKIES BEHIND THE FRONT
SUNDAY AFTERNOON. BREEZY TO GUSTY (15-25 MPH SUSTAINED WITH GUSTS UP
TO 30-35 MPH) NORTHEASTERLY WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED ACROSS THE AREA
SUNDAY MORNING. HIGHS ARE EXPECTED TO SPAN IN THE 40S TO LOW 50S FOR
MOST LOCATIONS, WHILE LOW TEMPERATURES MONDAY MORNING ARE FORECAST
TO REACH THE UPPER 20S TO UPPER 30S. THE COLD WEATHER DOES NOT LAST
LONG AS THE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE AXIS BUILDS OVER THE REGION
BEGINNING EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH TEMPERATURES REBOUNDING IN THE
UPPER 50S TO 70S. BOTH MONDAY AND TUESDAY LOOKS TO HAVE BREEZY
WINDS AS LEE TROUGHING SETS UP TO OUR WEST, WHILE A SURFACE HIGH
WILL BE OFF TO THE EAST. HEADING INTO THE MIDDLE AND LATTER HALF
OF NEXT WEEK, CLUSTER ANALYSIS HINTS AT CONSISTENT QUASI ZONAL
FLOW ALOFT PROMOTING WARM DOWNSLOPING WINDS. THIS IS GOING TO KEEP
THE REGION WARM AND DRY FOR THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE.
LAMBERSON
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1040 PM CST FRI DEC 12 2025
VFR PREVAILS. VARIABLE WINDS CONTINUE INTO THE MORNING BEFORE
WINDS SHIFT OUT OF THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BIG SPRING 36 73 32 43 / 0 0 0 0
CARLSBAD 37 76 36 48 / 0 0 0 0
DRYDEN 43 76 45 54 / 0 0 0 10
FORT STOCKTON 40 76 39 46 / 0 0 0 10
GUADALUPE PASS 42 66 36 44 / 0 0 0 0
HOBBS 35 73 30 46 / 0 0 0 0
MARFA 32 72 33 52 / 0 0 0 10
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT 37 71 34 44 / 0 0 0 0
ODESSA 38 71 35 44 / 0 0 0 0
WINK 36 74 36 44 / 0 0 0 0
MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
NM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...95
LONG TERM....11
AVIATION...93
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