349
FXUS64 KMAF 131106
AFDMAF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
506 AM CST SAT DEC 13 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 504 AM CST SAT DEC 13 2025
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY BEFORE
A STRONGER COLD FRONT (BRIEFLY) BRINGS MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES
ON SUNDAY.
- DRY CONDITIONS PERSIST THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 142 AM CST SAT DEC 13 2025
TODAY WILL BE A REPEAT OF YESTERDAY WITH CLEAR SKIES AND HIGHS
ABOUT 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL REACHING INTO THE 70S FOR MOST
LOCATIONS. AN UPPER RIDGE OVER BRITISH COLUMBIA AMPLIFIES TODAY
SENDING COLD AIR SOUTH AND ARRIVING IN THE PERMIAN BASIN TONIGHT
AFTER SUNSET. LOWS TONIGHT DROP DOWN TO NEAR OR BELOW FREEZING IN
THE PERMIAN BASIN WITH MID AND UPPER 30S ELSEWHERE. LOW CLOUDS
DEVELOP BEHIND THE FRONT THAT SHOULD KEEP TEMPERATURES SUNDAY IN
THE 40S, A BRIEF REMINDER THAT WE ARE IN THE MONTH OF DECEMBER AND
NOT MARCH.
THE UPPER PATTERN IS PROGRESSIVE SO THE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
BEHIND THE COLD FRONT MOVES EAST MONDAY BRINGING A QUICK SOUTHERLY
RETURN FLOW. WARM AIR ADVECTION GETS TEMPERATURES BACK UP INTO THE
60S FOR HIGHS AND THE BEGINNING OF ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS EXTENDING
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.
HENNIG
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 142 AM CST SAT DEC 13 2025
THE ONLY COLD AIR IN THE FORECAST IS SUNDAY, WITH THE REMAINING
DAYS EXPECTED TO BE ABOVE NORMAL. MODELS SHOW THE JET STREAM WILL
BE ORIENTED IN A WEST TO EAST DIRECTION (ZONAL) WITH LITTLE
AMPLIFICATION AND THE JET CORE WELL TO THE NORTH OF THE AREA. THUS
WARM AIR REMAINS ENTRENCHED IN WEST TEXAS AND EASTERN NEW MEXICO.
HIGHS 10 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL ARE EXPECTED REACHING THE 70S
EVERY DAY FROM TUESDAY AND BEYOND.
HENNIG
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 504 AM CST SAT DEC 13 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. MVFR/IFR CIGS
MOVING NORTH WILL REMAIN EAST OF ALL TAF SITES THIS MORNING.
SOUTHERLY WINDS CONTINUE FOR 12 HOURS, SHIFTING FROMK THE NORTH
00-06Z WITH THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT.
HENNIG
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BIG SPRING 72 30 45 34 / 0 0 0 0
CARLSBAD 75 35 48 31 / 0 0 0 0
DRYDEN 77 44 51 38 / 0 0 10 0
FORT STOCKTON 77 38 46 35 / 0 0 10 0
GUADALUPE PASS 66 35 45 33 / 0 0 0 0
HOBBS 74 30 47 30 / 0 0 0 0
MARFA 73 33 51 28 / 0 0 0 0
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT 72 33 45 36 / 0 0 0 0
ODESSA 71 33 46 36 / 0 0 0 0
WINK 74 35 46 33 / 0 0 0 0
MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
NM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...10
LONG TERM....10
AVIATION...10
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