150
FXUS64 KMAF 131643
AFDMAF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1043 AM CST SAT DEC 13 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1040 AM CST SAT DEC 13 2025
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY BEFORE
A STRONGER COLD FRONT (BRIEFLY) BRINGS MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES
ON SUNDAY.
- DRY CONDITIONS PERSIST THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 142 AM CST SAT DEC 13 2025
TODAY WILL BE A REPEAT OF YESTERDAY WITH CLEAR SKIES AND HIGHS
ABOUT 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL REACHING INTO THE 70S FOR MOST
LOCATIONS. AN UPPER RIDGE OVER BRITISH COLUMBIA AMPLIFIES TODAY
SENDING COLD AIR SOUTH AND ARRIVING IN THE PERMIAN BASIN TONIGHT
AFTER SUNSET. LOWS TONIGHT DROP DOWN TO NEAR OR BELOW FREEZING IN
THE PERMIAN BASIN WITH MID AND UPPER 30S ELSEWHERE. LOW CLOUDS
DEVELOP BEHIND THE FRONT THAT SHOULD KEEP TEMPERATURES SUNDAY IN
THE 40S, A BRIEF REMINDER THAT WE ARE IN THE MONTH OF DECEMBER AND
NOT MARCH.
THE UPPER PATTERN IS PROGRESSIVE SO THE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
BEHIND THE COLD FRONT MOVES EAST MONDAY BRINGING A QUICK SOUTHERLY
RETURN FLOW. WARM AIR ADVECTION GETS TEMPERATURES BACK UP INTO THE
60S FOR HIGHS AND THE BEGINNING OF ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS EXTENDING
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.
HENNIG
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 142 AM CST SAT DEC 13 2025
THE ONLY COLD AIR IN THE FORECAST IS SUNDAY, WITH THE REMAINING
DAYS EXPECTED TO BE ABOVE NORMAL. MODELS SHOW THE JET STREAM WILL
BE ORIENTED IN A WEST TO EAST DIRECTION (ZONAL) WITH LITTLE
AMPLIFICATION AND THE JET CORE WELL TO THE NORTH OF THE AREA. THUS
WARM AIR REMAINS ENTRENCHED IN WEST TEXAS AND EASTERN NEW MEXICO.
HIGHS 10 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL ARE EXPECTED REACHING THE 70S
EVERY DAY FROM TUESDAY AND BEYOND.
HENNIG
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1040 AM CST SAT DEC 13 2025
A COLD FRONT WILL INTRUDE UPON THE TERMINALS OVERNIGHT, W/FROPA AT
SE NM TERMINALS AS SOON AS 00Z, AND TEXAS TERMINALS SHORTLY
THEREAFTER. MVFR STRATUS IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER TEXAS
TERMINALS OVERNIGHT, AS EARLY AS 11Z, AND PERSISTING THROUGH THE
END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BIG SPRING 30 45 34 61 / 0 0 0 0
CARLSBAD 35 48 31 65 / 0 0 0 0
DRYDEN 44 51 38 58 / 0 10 0 0
FORT STOCKTON 38 46 35 67 / 0 10 0 0
GUADALUPE PASS 35 45 33 57 / 0 0 0 0
HOBBS 30 47 30 62 / 0 0 0 0
MARFA 33 51 28 61 / 0 0 0 0
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT 33 45 36 61 / 0 0 0 0
ODESSA 33 46 36 60 / 0 0 0 0
WINK 35 46 33 61 / 0 0 0 0
MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
NM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...10
LONG TERM....10
AVIATION...99
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