364
FXUS64 KMAF 141136
AFDMAF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
536 AM CST SUN DEC 14 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 534 AM CST SUN DEC 14 2025
- A STRONG COLD FRONT PUSHES IN TONIGHT, BRINGING BRISK WINDS,
CLOUDY SKIES, AND MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY.
- WARMER CONDITIONS RETURN MONDAY ONWARD.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 152 AM CST SUN DEC 14 2025
A COLD FRONT MOVED INTO THE PERMIAN BASIN SEVERAL HOURS AGO AND
MOST LOCATIONS ARE NOW OBSERVING NORTHEAST WINDS. WINDS INITIALLY
BEHIND THE FRONT WERE GUSTY AND KICKED UP DUST LOWERING VISIBILITY
TO 3 TO 5 MILES, BUT WIND SPEEDS ARE TAPERING OFF AND VISIBILITIES
ARE INCREASING. SATELLITE SHOWS LOW CLOUDS ARE ALSO MOVING IN AND
WILL COVER MOST OF THE CWA TODAY CREATING A LOW DIURNAL VARIATION
TODAY WITH TEMPS ONLY REACHING INTO THE 40S.
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE QUICKLY MOVES EAST AND LOW LEVEL FLOW
RETURNS FROM THE SOUTH MONDAY BEGINNING A PERIOD OF WARM AIR
ADVECTION. HIGHS INCREASE TO THE UPPER 50S AND 60S MONDAY DESPITE
CLOUD COVER CONTINUING THROUGH THE DAY.
HENNIG
LONG TERM
(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 152 AM CST SUN DEC 14 2025
TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO CLIMB TUESDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. MODELS
SHOW THE JET STREAM MAINTAINS A ZONAL ORIENTATION KEEPING THE COLD
AIR LOCKED WELL NORTH OF THE AREA. A FEW MINOR DISTURBANCES MAY
SEND WEAK COLD FRONTS INTO WEST TEXAS WITH VERY LITTLE COOLING
EXPECTED. THUS ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS ARE FORECAST THROUGH THE
EXTENDED PERIOD.
HENNIG
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 534 AM CST SUN DEC 14 2025
MVFR CIGS HAVE ARRIVED THIS MORNING BEHIND A COLD FRONT. WINDS
HAVE ALSO SHIFTED FROM THE NORTHEAST AND WILL CONTINUE PAST 18Z.
MVFR CONDITIONS SHOULD PERSIST THROUGH THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD
EXCEPT AT CNM WHICH COULD BREAK OUT 18-00Z.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BIG SPRING 43 34 61 40 / 0 0 0 0
CARLSBAD 46 31 63 37 / 0 0 0 0
DRYDEN 49 37 58 41 / 10 0 0 0
FORT STOCKTON 43 35 65 43 / 0 0 0 0
GUADALUPE PASS 43 34 56 41 / 0 0 0 0
HOBBS 45 31 60 35 / 0 0 0 0
MARFA 50 29 61 35 / 0 0 0 0
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT 42 36 59 40 / 0 0 0 0
ODESSA 42 37 59 40 / 0 0 0 0
WINK 43 34 59 37 / 0 0 0 0
MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
NM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...10
LONG TERM....10
AVIATION...10
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