609
FXUS64 KMAF 141627
AFDMAF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1027 AM CST SUN DEC 14 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1024 AM CST SUN DEC 14 2025
- A STRONG COLD FRONT PUSHES IN TONIGHT, BRINGING BRISK WINDS,
CLOUDY SKIES, AND MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY.
- WARMER CONDITIONS RETURN MONDAY ONWARD.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 152 AM CST SUN DEC 14 2025
A COLD FRONT MOVED INTO THE PERMIAN BASIN SEVERAL HOURS AGO AND
MOST LOCATIONS ARE NOW OBSERVING NORTHEAST WINDS. WINDS INITIALLY
BEHIND THE FRONT WERE GUSTY AND KICKED UP DUST LOWERING VISIBILITY
TO 3 TO 5 MILES, BUT WIND SPEEDS ARE TAPERING OFF AND VISIBILITIES
ARE INCREASING. SATELLITE SHOWS LOW CLOUDS ARE ALSO MOVING IN AND
WILL COVER MOST OF THE CWA TODAY CREATING A LOW DIURNAL VARIATION
TODAY WITH TEMPS ONLY REACHING INTO THE 40S.
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE QUICKLY MOVES EAST AND LOW LEVEL FLOW
RETURNS FROM THE SOUTH MONDAY BEGINNING A PERIOD OF WARM AIR
ADVECTION. HIGHS INCREASE TO THE UPPER 50S AND 60S MONDAY DESPITE
CLOUD COVER CONTINUING THROUGH THE DAY.
HENNIG
LONG TERM
(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 152 AM CST SUN DEC 14 2025
TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO CLIMB TUESDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. MODELS
SHOW THE JET STREAM MAINTAINS A ZONAL ORIENTATION KEEPING THE COLD
AIR LOCKED WELL NORTH OF THE AREA. A FEW MINOR DISTURBANCES MAY
SEND WEAK COLD FRONTS INTO WEST TEXAS WITH VERY LITTLE COOLING
EXPECTED. THUS ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS ARE FORECAST THROUGH THE
EXTENDED PERIOD.
HENNIG
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1024 AM CST SUN DEC 14 2025
MVFR CIGS WILL DIP IN AND OUT OF MVFR FOR THE NEXT 12-16 HRS IN
A COLD, POST-FRONTAL AMS. LIGHT WINDS WILL VEER BACK TO RETURN
FLOW.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BIG SPRING 34 61 40 71 / 0 0 0 0
CARLSBAD 31 63 37 73 / 0 0 0 0
DRYDEN 37 58 41 68 / 0 0 0 0
FORT STOCKTON 35 65 43 74 / 0 0 0 0
GUADALUPE PASS 34 56 41 62 / 0 0 0 0
HOBBS 31 60 35 71 / 0 0 0 0
MARFA 29 61 35 69 / 0 0 0 0
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT 36 59 40 69 / 0 0 0 0
ODESSA 37 59 40 69 / 0 0 0 0
WINK 34 59 37 72 / 0 0 0 0
MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
NM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...10
LONG TERM....10
AVIATION...99
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