641
FXUS64 KMAF 151153
AFDMAF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
553 AM CST MON DEC 15 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 538 AM CST MON DEC 15 2025
- TODAY WILL BE CHILLY WITH HIGHS IN THE 50S AND 60S.
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TUESDAY ONWARD WITH HIGHS IN
THE 70S.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 211 AM CST MON DEC 15 2025
CURRENT OBSERVATIONS SHOW SOUTHERLY WINDS RETURNING ACROSS THE
AREA THIS MORNING. THE BRIEF PERIOD OF COLD AIR WE SAW YESTERDAY
WILL BE MODIFYING TODAY WITH THE ONSET OF WARM AIR ADVECTION.
LOW WIND SPEEDS AND PLENTY OF CLOUD COVER WILL LIMIT THE WARMING
TODAY KEEPING HIGHS IN THE 50S AND 60S. TOMORROW BEGINS A PERIOD
OF ABOVE NORMAL WARMTH THAT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD WITH HIGHS REACHING THE 70S.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 211 AM CST MON DEC 15 2025
AS STATED ABOVE, THE EXTENDED FORECAST WILL FEATURE ABOVE NORMAL
HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE UPPER 60S TO 70S. THIS IS DUE TO THE JET
STREAM REMAINING ZONAL AND WELL TO THE NORTH OF WEST TEXAS AND
EASTERN NEW MEXICO. A FEW UPPER DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
NORTHERN TIER OF STATES OVER THE COMING DAYS SENDING WEAK COLD
FRONTS INTO THE CWA, BUT THESE FRONTS WILL ONLY DECREASE HIGHS BY
A FEW DEGREES. THE LACK OF AMPLIFICATION OF THE JET PREVENTS ANY
COLD AIR FROM SPILLING SOUTH. ANY COLD AIR INTRUSIONS INTO THE
U.S. WILL REMAIN EAST OF US. IT IS INCREASINGLY LOOKING LIKE
CHRISTMAS WILL BE WARM AND DRY THIS YEAR.
HENNIG
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 538 AM CST MON DEC 15 2025
MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS HAVE SETTLED IN AND WILL REMAIN THROUGH 18Z
BEFORE SCATTERING OUT. HOB MAY BE BRIEFLY NEAR AIRPORT MINS
12-15Z BEFORE CIG/VIS IMPROVES SLIGHTLY BEFORE VFR CONDITIONS
FINALLY ARRIVE. VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD REMAIN THE REMAINDER OF THE
TAF PERIOD.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BIG SPRING 58 40 71 36 / 0 0 0 0
CARLSBAD 59 35 74 38 / 0 0 0 0
DRYDEN 56 40 66 42 / 0 0 0 0
FORT STOCKTON 64 44 76 43 / 0 0 0 0
GUADALUPE PASS 55 42 62 39 / 0 0 0 0
HOBBS 58 35 72 35 / 0 0 0 0
MARFA 62 36 71 31 / 0 0 0 0
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT 58 40 70 38 / 0 0 0 0
ODESSA 57 40 70 38 / 0 0 0 0
WINK 57 37 72 34 / 0 0 0 0
MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
NM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...10
LONG TERM....10
AVIATION...10
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