966
FXUS64 KMAF 151900
AFDMAF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
100 PM CST MON DEC 15 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 100 PM CST MON DEC 15 2025
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TUESDAY ONWARD, WITH HIGHS
GENERALLY IN THE 70S FOR MOST.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 100 PM CST MON DEC 15 2025
CLOUDY AND COOL CONDITIONS FROM TODAY DO NOT STICK AROUND AS
SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW BRINGS IN DRIER AND WARMER
AIR TO THE REGION BY TONIGHT. GUIDANCE DOES HAVE WEAK SHOWERS IN
PLACE ACROSS BIG BEND AS A SHORTWAVE PASSES INTO NORTHERN MEXICO,
BUT THE REST OF THE REGION WILL BE DRY FOR THE SHORT TERM FORECAST.
LOWS END UP A FEW DEGREES WARMER TONIGHT COMPARED TO THIS MORNING.
WITH MORE SUN EXPECTED, TOMORROW'S HIGHS MOVE SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL WITH MOST IN THE UPPER 60S TO 70S. NORMAL HIGHS FOR MID
DECEMBER ARE IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S (59F AT KMAF). A WEAK COLD
FRONT APPROACHES LATE TUESDAY NIGHT, BUT WEDNESDAY MORNING LOWS LOOK
TO REMAIN MOSTLY UNCHANGED IN THE 30S AND 40S.
-STICKNEY
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 100 PM CST MON DEC 15 2025
THE EXTENDED FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK FOR MUCH ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES, WITH HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE 60S AND 70S (80S POSSIBLE
ON SATURDAY). NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT IS EXPECTED MID-TO-LATE WEEK
BEFORE TRANSITIONING TO ZONAL FLOW ALOFT BY THE WEEKEND. A COUPLE OF
WEAK FRONTS COULD MAKE THEIR WAY INTO OUR REGION, BUT THESE FRONTS
WILL HAVE LITTLE IMPACT ON HIGH TEMPERATURES AS THERE IS A LACK OF
UPPER-LEVEL SUPPORT (LITTLE TO NO AMPLIFICATION IN HEIGHTS/UPPER-
LEVEL JET). DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE
EXTENDED DUE TO LACK OF SUFFICIENT MOISTURE AND ANY SOURCE OF
FORCING FOR ASCENT.
-GREENING
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1108 AM CST MON DEC 15 2025
LIFR/IFR CIGS AND VIS HOLD ON IN SOME WAY AT ALL TERMINALS, BUT
SHOULD IMPROVE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE TO A FEW HOURS. LIGHT (5-10KT)
SUSTAINED WINDS OUT OF THE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST EXPECTED THROUGH
TONIGHT.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BIG SPRING 40 71 36 67 / 0 0 0 0
CARLSBAD 35 74 38 71 / 0 0 0 0
DRYDEN 40 65 41 74 / 0 0 0 0
FORT STOCKTON 45 76 42 71 / 0 0 0 0
GUADALUPE PASS 42 63 40 62 / 0 0 0 0
HOBBS 34 72 36 68 / 0 0 0 0
MARFA 37 71 31 69 / 0 0 0 0
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT 40 70 38 69 / 0 0 0 0
ODESSA 40 70 38 68 / 0 0 0 0
WINK 37 73 34 69 / 0 0 0 0
MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
NM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...93
LONG TERM....55
AVIATION...93
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