221
FXUS64 KMAF 162243
AFDMAF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
443 PM CST TUE DEC 16 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 442 PM CST TUE DEC 16 2025
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TODAY ONWARD, WITH HIGHS
GENERALLY IN THE 70S FOR MOST.
- POTENTIAL FOR RECORD HIGHS SATURDAY, WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE
LOW 80S FORECAST.
- DRY CONDITIONS PERSIST THROUGHOUT THE EXTENDED.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 100 PM CST TUE DEC 16 2025
WEAK SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW, AS WELL AS A LACK OF CLOUD
COVER, HAS THE AREA ON TRACK TO REACH ABOVE NORMAL INTO THE 60S AND
LOW 70S. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE A FEW DEGREES WARMER THAN THIS
MORNING WITH MOST IN THE 30S TO LOW 40S. A WEAK FRONT SLIDES IN FROM
THE NORTH LATE TONIGHT AND INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. THIS WILL HARDLY
MODERATE TEMPERATURES FOR WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND MOST LOCATIONS
WILL STILL REACH THE 60S TO LOW 70S. WEDNESDAY NIGHT SEES LOWS ONLY
DIPPING INTO THE 40S FOR MOST WITH 30S STILL OCCURRING IN THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS. POPS REMAIN NEAR ZERO FOR THE SHORT TERM.
-STICKNEY
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 100 PM CST TUE DEC 16 2025
THE EXTENDED FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK FOR MUCH ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES, WITH HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE 70S. HOWEVER, AFTERNOON
HIGHS ON SATURDAY COULD REACH RECORD TERRITORY, WITH TEMPERATURES IN
THE LOW 80S FORECAST FOR MANY. NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT IS EXPECTED MID-
TO-LATE WEEK BEFORE TRANSITIONING TO ZONAL FLOW BY THE WEEKEND. A
COUPLE OF SHORTWAVES EMBEDDED IN THE FLOW TO THE NORTH ARE FORECAST
TO SEND WEAK FRONTS TOWARDS OUR REGION. HOWEVER, THESE FRONTS ARE
EXPECTED TO HAVE LITTLE IMPACT ON HIGH TEMPERATURES AS THERE IS A
LACK OF AMPLIFICATION IN THE UPPER-LEVEL HEIGHTS/JET. DRY CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE EXTENDED DUE TO A LACK OF
SUFFICIENT MOISTURE AND SUBSTANTIAL SOURCE OF LIFT.
-GREENING
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 442 PM CST TUE DEC 16 2025
VFR PREVAILS THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH A LIGHT WESTERLY COMPONENT
TO THE WINDS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BIG SPRING 35 69 44 66 / 0 0 0 0
CARLSBAD 38 71 44 73 / 0 0 0 0
DRYDEN 41 75 46 79 / 0 0 0 0
FORT STOCKTON 42 71 48 74 / 0 0 0 0
GUADALUPE PASS 40 62 44 65 / 0 0 0 0
HOBBS 35 69 44 68 / 0 0 0 0
MARFA 31 69 37 73 / 0 0 0 0
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT 37 69 46 68 / 0 0 0 0
ODESSA 38 68 47 68 / 0 0 0 0
WINK 34 69 41 71 / 0 0 0 0
MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
NM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...93
LONG TERM....55
AVIATION...29
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